Baylor

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.3%Baylor

47.7%Oklahoma State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBaylor -0.1

PROJECTED TOTAL167.4

MODEL MONEYLINEBaylor -110

Oklahoma State

20-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBaylor 84

Projected Total167.4

Projected ScoreOklahoma State 84

Team Comparison

BaylorMetricOklahoma State

58.9MMH Power Index53.5

116.7Offensive Efficiency112.1

109.5Defensive Efficiency111.2

7.2Net Efficiency0.9

4.0Strength of Schedule6.1

-2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

69.7Tempo74.8

54.4%Effective FG%52.2%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.8%

37.5%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

34.8%Free Throw Rate40.3%

5.1Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Baylor HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBaylor holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.9–53.5), offensive efficiency (116.7–112.1), defensive efficiency (109.5–111.2), net efficiency (7.2–0.9).

Oklahoma State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.1–4.0), ball security (15.8–16.4), free throw rate (40.3–34.8).

Final

Baylor

75—70

Oklahoma State

Baylor by 5 • 70.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BaylorTEAM STATOklahoma State

31-73FG25-53

42.0%FG%47.0%

2-153PT4-20

13.0%3PT%20.0%

11-14FT16-20

79.0%FT%80.0%

40Rebounds31

16Offensive Rebounds5

8Assists9

7Turnovers12

9Steals2

1Blocks6

20Fouls14

Player Box Score

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
RayJ Dennis	Guard	39	8-20	1-3	1-1	5	4	2	0	18
Langston Love	G	34	6-11	0-1	5-6	2	0	1	0	17
Yves Missi	Center	30	6-9	0-0	1-3	10	1	3	0	13
Jalen Bridges	Forward	37	4-14	0-5	2-2	7	1	1	0	10
Ja'Kobe Walter	Guard	39	2-11	1-5	2-2	6	1	1	1	7
Josh Ojianwuna	F	15	3-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Jayden Nunn	Guard	22	2-5	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	4
Miro Little	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Caleb Lohner	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Oklahoma State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Garrison	F	38	7-7	0-0	6-6	8	2	0	4	20
Javon Small	Guard	41	6-14	2-7	3-4	8	2	0	0	17
Bryce Thompson	Guard	42	5-16	0-6	5-5	2	2	0	0	15
Eric Dailey Jr.	F	33	4-8	0-3	1-4	2	0	1	0	9
Quion Williams	G	40	1-5	0-1	1-1	8	2	1	1	3
Jarius Hicklen	Guard	18	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
John-Michael Wright	Guard	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Mike Marsh	Center	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.1Possessions70.1

107.0Offensive Efficiency99.9

99.9Defensive Efficiency107.0

7.1Net Efficiency-7.1

43.8%Effective FG%50.9%

47.1%True Shooting %56.0%

9.9%Turnover Rate17.3%

19.2%Free Throw Rate37.7%

20.5%3-Point Rate37.7%

1.14Assist / Turnover0.75

Game Summary

Baylor won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 70.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.