Providence

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.3%Providence

52.7%Creighton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCreighton -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL164.2

MODEL MONEYLINECreighton -111

Creighton

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreProvidence 81

Projected Total164.2

Projected ScoreCreighton 83

Team Comparison

ProvidenceMetricCreighton

54.2MMH Power Index50.6

115.0Offensive Efficiency109.0

113.2Defensive Efficiency109.5

1.8Net Efficiency-0.5

4.0Strength of Schedule5.1

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

74.2Tempo68.9

55.0%Effective FG%53.0%

16.7%Turnover Rate16.6%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

37.3%Free Throw Rate29.0%

1.3Average Margin-0.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Providence HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMProvidence holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–50.6), offensive efficiency (115.0–109.0), net efficiency (1.8–-0.5), recent form (-1.3–-5.2).

Creighton COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.5–113.2), strength of schedule (5.1–4.0), ball security (16.6–16.7).

Final

Providence

60—69

Creighton

Creighton by 9 • 67.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ProvidenceTEAM STATCreighton

24-65FG26-54

36.9%FG%48.1%

8-233PT7-23

34.8%3PT%30.4%

4-8FT10-14

50.0%FT%71.4%

34Rebounds42

9Offensive Rebounds7

8Assists9

8Turnovers13

9Steals4

—Blocks2

14Fouls11

Player Box Score

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Devin Carter	Guard	36	11-22	3-7	0-1	10	3	1	25
Ticket Gaines	Guard	35	5-9	2-4	0-0	9	0	0	12
Jayden Pierre	G	35	3-9	2-4	2-2	2	5	4	10
Josh Oduro	Forward	32	4-17	0-5	1-1	3	0	2	9
Rafael Castro	F	8	1-3	1-2	1-4	0	0	1	4
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	29	0-3	0-1	0-0	4	0	1	0
Rich Barron	F	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0
Garwey Dual	G	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0
Donovan Santoro	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Creighton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Kalkbrenner	Center	39	8-13	1-4	5-5	12	1	0	1	22
Trey Alexander	Guard	31	8-11	2-3	3-7	5	5	0	1	21
Steven Ashworth	Guard	33	4-7	2-4	2-2	4	0	0	0	12
Baylor Scheierman	Forward	38	4-16	1-6	0-0	11	3	3	0	9
Mason Miller	F	32	2-5	1-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Francisco Farabello	Guard	22	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Isaac Traudt	F	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Fredrick King	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.3Possessions67.3

89.2Offensive Efficiency102.5

102.5Defensive Efficiency89.2

-13.4Net Efficiency13.4

43.1%Effective FG%54.6%

43.6%True Shooting %56.9%

11.8%Turnover Rate19.5%

12.3%Free Throw Rate25.9%

35.4%3-Point Rate42.6%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.69

Game Summary

Creighton won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 67.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.