Auburn

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.8%Auburn

74.2%Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -8.6

PROJECTED TOTAL172.6

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -288

Arkansas

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAuburn 82

Projected Total172.6

Projected ScoreArkansas 91

Team Comparison

AuburnMetricArkansas

64.4MMH Power Index69.3

118.8Offensive Efficiency122.2

113.0Defensive Efficiency109.8

5.8Net Efficiency12.4

7.5Strength of Schedule8.6

8.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

69.8Tempo73.8

53.1%Effective FG%56.4%

14.5%Turnover Rate12.2%

36.5%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

43.8%Free Throw Rate36.5%

4.1Average Margin9.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–64.4), offensive efficiency (122.2–118.8), defensive efficiency (109.8–113.0), net efficiency (12.4–5.8).

Auburn COUNTERS WITHrecent form (8.0–3.4), offensive rebounding (36.5–31.8), free throw rate (43.8–36.5).

Final

Auburn

83—51

Arkansas

Auburn by 32 • 71.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AuburnTEAM STATArkansas

34-70FG18-58

48.6%FG%31.0%

7-183PT7-24

38.9%3PT%29.2%

8-11FT8-15

72.7%FT%53.3%

46Rebounds32

11Offensive Rebounds7

16Assists8

7Turnovers13

5Steals4

5Blocks4

14Fouls11

Player Box Score

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	21	5-9	2-3	4-4	4	3	0	0	16
Johni Broome	Forward	25	7-13	0-2	0-0	8	3	2	2	14
Jaylin Williams	Forward	25	5-9	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	11
Tre Donaldson	G	20	5-6	1-1	0-0	7	4	0	0	11
Denver Jones	Guard	19	2-5	1-1	2-3	0	1	1	1	7
K.D. Johnson	Guard	19	2-8	0-2	2-2	2	2	1	0	6
Dylan Cardwell	Center	13	3-3	0-0	0-2	8	0	0	2	6
Aden Holloway	G	20	2-9	1-4	0-0	5	0	0	0	5
Chaney Johnson	Forward	15	2-5	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Lior Berman	Guard	7	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Chris Moore	Forward	14	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Addarin Scott	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keyon Menifield Jr.	Guard	31	5-15	4-9	0-3	3	4	1	0	14
Trevon Brazile	F	34	5-9	1-5	0-0	7	0	0	3	11
Tramon Mark	G	30	3-8	1-3	3-4	5	2	0	0	10
Jalen Graham	Forward	20	2-8	0-0	0-0	6	0	2	0	4
Khalif Battle	Guard	17	1-4	0-1	2-4	2	0	0	1	4
Chandler Lawson	Forward	12	1-4	1-3	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Davonte Davis	Guard	25	0-4	0-2	2-2	1	1	0	0	2
Makhi Mitchell	Forward	9	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Baye Fall	C	4	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
El Ellis	Guard	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Joseph Pinion	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Denijay Harris	Forward	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Layden Blocker	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.2Possessions71.2

116.6Offensive Efficiency71.6

71.6Defensive Efficiency116.6

44.9Net Efficiency-44.9

53.6%Effective FG%37.1%

55.2%True Shooting %39.2%

9.8%Turnover Rate18.3%

15.7%Free Throw Rate25.9%

25.7%3-Point Rate41.4%

2.29Assist / Turnover0.62

Game Summary

Auburn won by 32 points. The game played at approximately 71.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.