Alabama State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.7%Alabama State

64.3%Arkansas-Pine Bluff

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas-Pine Bluff -4.4

PROJECTED TOTAL157.4

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas-Pine Bluff -180

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama State 76

Projected Total157.4

Projected ScoreArkansas-Pine Bluff 81

Team Comparison

Alabama StateMetricArkansas-Pine Bluff

38MMH Power Index38.7

101.7Offensive Efficiency106.4

107.4Defensive Efficiency111.6

-5.7Net Efficiency-5.2

-6.2Strength of Schedule-6.0

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency1.3

71.9Tempo72.6

48.2%Effective FG%51.4%

18.2%Turnover Rate18.5%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %29.3%

35.8%Free Throw Rate37.7%

-4.1Average Margin-3.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas-Pine Bluff HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas-Pine Bluff holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.7–38.0), offensive efficiency (106.4–101.7), net efficiency (-5.2–-5.7), strength of schedule (-6.0–-6.2).

Alabama State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.4–111.6), ball security (18.2–18.5), offensive rebounding (32.6–29.3).

Final

Alabama State

83—72

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Alabama State by 11 • 81.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Alabama StateTEAM STATArkansas-Pine Bluff

29-68FG24-62

42.6%FG%38.7%

8-263PT7-27

30.8%3PT%25.9%

17-22FT17-21

77.3%FT%81.0%

36Rebounds40

4Offensive Rebounds4

18Assists16

8Turnovers13

8Steals6

3Blocks3

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
CJ Hines	G	34	8-13	4-8	1-1	2	5	1	0	21
Sean Smith	G	15	5-6	0-1	4-4	3	4	1	0	14
Amarr Knox	G	14	4-8	0-1	3-4	1	1	1	0	11
Isaiah Range	Guard	31	4-12	2-7	0-0	8	2	1	0	10
TJ Madlock	Guard	27	1-11	0-3	8-8	4	4	1	0	10
Micah Octave	G	24	3-5	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	1	6
Eric Coleman	Forward	20	2-6	2-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Ubong Okon	C	14	1-2	0-0	1-3	10	1	0	2	3
Kendal Parker	G	11	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	0	2
JaSteven Walker	F	10	0-2	0-0	0-2	0	0	1	0	0

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kylen Milton	Guard	35	5-9	1-3	5-8	11	2	1	1	16
Rashad Williams	Guard	32	5-19	1-11	3-3	1	3	0	0	14
Lonnell Martin Jr.	Forward	33	2-9	1-3	6-6	4	3	1	0	11
Joe French	Guard	33	3-11	3-9	2-2	5	1	1	0	11
Ismael Plet	Forward	29	3-6	0-0	1-2	10	4	1	0	7
Robert Lewis	F	17	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	2	4
Caleb Stokes	Forward	4	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Kaine McColley	Guard	5	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Trejon Ware	G	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

81.8Possessions81.8

101.5Offensive Efficiency88.0

88.0Defensive Efficiency101.5

13.4Net Efficiency-13.4

48.5%Effective FG%44.4%

52.9%True Shooting %50.0%

9.7%Turnover Rate16.1%

32.4%Free Throw Rate33.9%

38.2%3-Point Rate43.5%

2.25Assist / Turnover1.23

Game Summary

Alabama State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 81.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.