Missouri

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.2%Missouri

77.8%Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADKentucky -8.9

PROJECTED TOTAL157.9

MODEL MONEYLINEKentucky -350

Kentucky

22-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri 75

Projected Total157.9

Projected ScoreKentucky 83

Team Comparison

MissouriMetricKentucky

57.2MMH Power Index63.9

115.1Offensive Efficiency115.2

109.7Defensive Efficiency106.3

5.4Net Efficiency8.9

5.0Strength of Schedule8.7

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

68.8Tempo69.9

55.2%Effective FG%53.2%

17.8%Turnover Rate15.4%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

43.1%Free Throw Rate38.0%

3.8Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMKentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.9–57.2), offensive efficiency (115.2–115.1), defensive efficiency (106.3–109.7), net efficiency (8.9–5.4).

Missouri COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (55.2–53.2), offensive rebounding (34.8–33.2), free throw rate (43.1–38.0).

Final

Missouri

77—90

Kentucky

Kentucky by 13 • 75.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MissouriTEAM STATKentucky

26-61FG28-56

42.6%FG%50.0%

8-283PT7-23

28.6%3PT%30.4%

17-22FT27-32

77.3%FT%84.4%

27Rebounds42

6Offensive Rebounds9

14Assists14

11Turnovers13

6Steals6

6Blocks3

22Fouls17

Player Box Score

Missouri

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Noah Carter	Forward	30	6-12	3-7	5-7	3	0	2	0	20
Sean East II	Guard	32	7-12	1-2	4-5	4	4	2	0	19
Tamar Bates	Guard	28	6-12	2-6	4-4	3	3	0	1	18
Nick Honor	Guard	34	2-10	2-8	2-2	0	2	1	0	8
Jesus Carralero Martin	Forward	19	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	4	0	1	4
Connor Vanover	Center	14	2-4	0-1	0-0	4	1	1	2	4
Aidan Shaw	F	16	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	2	2
John Tonje	Guard	12	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Mabor Majak	Center	8	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	0
Curt Lewis	G	6	0-4	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jackson Francois	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rob Dillingham	Guard	19	6-7	3-3	8-10	2	2	2	0	23
Tre Mitchell	Center	40	6-11	2-6	6-6	14	3	0	2	20
DJ Wagner	G	30	5-8	1-2	5-7	1	3	0	0	16
Antonio Reeves	Guard	29	3-9	0-5	8-8	6	1	1	0	14
Aaron Bradshaw	F	30	5-9	0-1	0-0	6	1	0	0	10
Justin Edwards	Forward	20	2-7	0-3	0-1	2	0	1	0	4
Reed Sheppard	Guard	23	1-4	1-3	0-0	0	4	2	0	3
Ugonna Onyenso	C	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Jordan Burks	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.9Possessions75.9

101.4Offensive Efficiency118.6

118.6Defensive Efficiency101.4

-17.1Net Efficiency17.1

49.2%Effective FG%56.3%

53.9%True Shooting %63.2%

14.4%Turnover Rate17.3%

36.1%Free Throw Rate57.1%

45.9%3-Point Rate41.1%

1.27Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Kentucky won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 75.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.