Duke

35-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

95.1%Duke

4.9%Pittsburgh

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -18.5

PROJECTED TOTAL144.2

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -1941

Pittsburgh

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDuke 81

Projected Total144.2

Projected ScorePittsburgh 63

Team Comparison

DukeMetricPittsburgh

81.7MMH Power Index50.5

122.2Offensive Efficiency108.4

95.2Defensive Efficiency110.4

27.0Net Efficiency-2.0

7.8Strength of Schedule5.5

18.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.9

66.8Tempo65.0

56.9%Effective FG%51.4%

15.9%Turnover Rate17.3%

38.2%Offensive Rebound %33.1%

39.0%Free Throw Rate31.2%

18.0Average Margin-1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–50.5), offensive efficiency (122.2–108.4), defensive efficiency (95.2–110.4), net efficiency (27.0–-2.0).

Final

Duke

75—53

Pittsburgh

Duke by 22 • 60.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DukeTEAM STATPittsburgh

29-56FG19-58

51.8%FG%32.8%

11-253PT9-27

44.0%3PT%33.3%

6-9FT6-7

66.7%FT%85.7%

42Rebounds26

13Offensive Rebounds11

19Assists10

14Turnovers10

5Steals13

5Blocks4

14Fouls11

Player Box Score

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kyle Filipowski	Forward	30	11-12	4-4	0-0	10	1	0	1	26
Jared McCain	Guard	29	5-9	2-5	0-0	5	2	1	0	12
Jeremy Roach	Guard	30	3-9	1-4	2-2	2	4	1	0	9
Caleb Foster	G	27	3-6	2-3	0-0	2	7	0	0	8
Ryan Young	Center	15	3-3	0-0	0-1	5	0	0	2	6
Mark Mitchell	G	21	1-4	0-1	2-4	3	0	0	0	4
Sean Stewart	F	8	1-3	0-0	2-2	4	0	1	1	4
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	24	1-6	1-5	0-0	6	5	1	1	3
TJ Power	F	5	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Jaylen Blakes	Guard	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Pittsburgh

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zack Austin	Forward	34	5-11	1-5	0-0	2	1	2	2	11
Bub Carrington	Guard	35	4-16	2-9	0-0	4	2	0	0	10
Jaland Lowe	G	31	3-10	1-2	2-2	2	2	1	0	9
Blake Hinson	Forward	29	3-8	3-7	0-1	2	0	1	1	9
Guillermo Diaz Graham	F	25	1-6	1-2	4-4	8	1	5	0	7
Will Jeffress	F	11	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Federiko Federiko	F	15	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	3	2	0	2
Ishmael Leggett	Guard	14	1-5	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Jorge Diaz Graham	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.8Possessions60.8

123.4Offensive Efficiency87.2

87.2Defensive Efficiency123.4

36.2Net Efficiency-36.2

61.6%Effective FG%40.5%

62.2%True Shooting %43.2%

22.8%Turnover Rate16.6%

16.1%Free Throw Rate12.1%

44.6%3-Point Rate46.6%

1.36Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Duke won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 60.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.