Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.6%Colorado State

72.4%Boise State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoise State -6.9

PROJECTED TOTAL151.1

MODEL MONEYLINEBoise State -262

Boise State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 72

Projected Total151.1

Projected ScoreBoise State 79

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricBoise State

55.4MMH Power Index59.5

117.1Offensive Efficiency113.9

109.9Defensive Efficiency107.1

7.2Net Efficiency6.8

0.4Strength of Schedule4.2

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

64.7Tempo68.6

58.6%Effective FG%52.7%

18.3%Turnover Rate17.0%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %33.8%

41.2%Free Throw Rate42.7%

4.6Average Margin4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.5–55.4), defensive efficiency (107.1–109.9), strength of schedule (4.2–0.4), recent form (5.2–4.3).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (117.1–113.9), net efficiency (7.2–6.8), shooting efficiency (58.6–52.7).

Final

Colorado State

58—65

Boise State

Boise State by 7 • 64.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATBoise State

24-51FG21-54

47.1%FG%38.9%

4-163PT6-18

25.0%3PT%33.3%

6-10FT17-23

60.0%FT%73.9%

33Rebounds30

7Offensive Rebounds10

10Assists10

16Turnovers10

5Steals10

3Blocks1

17Fouls12

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Stevens	Guard	34	6-12	0-1	3-4	4	3	1	0	15
Nique Clifford	Guard	31	5-7	2-3	0-0	8	2	1	1	12
Josiah Strong	Guard	19	4-6	1-3	0-0	2	2	1	0	9
Patrick Cartier	Forward	26	4-7	0-1	0-0	3	2	1	1	8
Jalen Lake	Guard	31	3-8	1-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	7
Joel Scott	Forward	25	2-5	0-0	1-4	7	0	1	0	5
Rashaan Mbemba	F	10	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	1	2
Joe Palmer	Guard	14	0-4	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Kyan Evans	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Tavi Jackson	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	32	7-13	1-2	2-2	11	1	3	1	17
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	36	5-10	0-2	3-5	4	0	2	0	13
Chibuzo Agbo	Guard	34	4-8	1-2	4-5	3	0	1	0	13
Max Rice	Guard	31	2-12	1-7	6-6	5	1	1	0	11
Andrew Meadow	F	22	3-6	3-4	2-2	2	0	0	0	11
Roddie Anderson	G	34	0-5	0-1	0-3	3	8	3	0	0
Jace Whiting	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kobe Young	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.9Possessions64.9

89.4Offensive Efficiency100.2

100.2Defensive Efficiency89.4

-10.8Net Efficiency10.8

51.0%Effective FG%44.4%

52.0%True Shooting %50.1%

24.7%Turnover Rate15.4%

19.6%Free Throw Rate42.6%

31.4%3-Point Rate33.3%

0.63Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Boise State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 64.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.