San Diego State

22-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

81.9%San Diego State

18.1%San José State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -10.5

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -452

San José State

9-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 81

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreSan José State 71

Team Comparison

San Diego StateMetricSan José State

60.1MMH Power Index42

110.3Offensive Efficiency108.7

99.3Defensive Efficiency118.5

11.0Net Efficiency-9.8

3.8Strength of Schedule1.8

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.6

70.8Tempo66.2

53.2%Effective FG%50.8%

17.2%Turnover Rate15.2%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

39.6%Free Throw Rate34.2%

7.8Average Margin-6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–42.0), offensive efficiency (110.3–108.7), defensive efficiency (99.3–118.5), net efficiency (11.0–-9.8).

San José State COUNTERS WITHball security (15.2–17.2).

Final

San Diego State

81—78

San José State

San Diego State by 3 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San Diego StateTEAM STATSan José State

27-57FG23-54

47.4%FG%42.6%

6-183PT9-27

33.3%3PT%33.3%

21-29FT23-25

72.4%FT%92.0%

37Rebounds28

13Offensive Rebounds8

10Assists13

8Turnovers10

4Steals3

4Blocks—

19Fouls23

Player Box Score

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaedon LeDee	Forward	36	8-14	1-2	14-19	10	2	0	0	31
Lamont Butler	Guard	30	6-10	2-4	2-3	2	1	1	0	16
Micah Parrish	Guard	27	5-9	1-4	2-4	1	3	1	1	13
Jay Pal	Forward	22	3-6	1-1	3-3	9	0	0	2	10
Reese Waters	Guard	34	3-8	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	1	7
Elijah Saunders	F	13	1-5	0-3	0-0	5	1	2	0	2
Miles Heide	F	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Darrion Trammell	Guard	21	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Miles Byrd	G	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

San José State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Alvaro Cardenas	Guard	39	6-13	3-7	6-6	4	6	0	21
Myron Amey Jr.	G	36	5-12	2-7	8-8	3	2	2	20
Tibet Gorener	Forward	35	4-9	4-8	3-5	2	0	0	15
Trey Anderson	Forward	36	3-11	0-3	5-5	6	3	1	11
Diogo Seixas	Forward	16	2-6	0-2	1-1	2	1	0	5
Garrett Anderson	Guard	8	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	4
Adrame Diongue	C	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	2
William Humer	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Latrell Davis	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

121.1Offensive Efficiency116.6

116.6Defensive Efficiency121.1

4.5Net Efficiency-4.5

52.6%Effective FG%50.9%

57.2%True Shooting %59.2%

12.2%Turnover Rate14.7%

50.9%Free Throw Rate46.3%

31.6%3-Point Rate50.0%

1.25Assist / Turnover1.30

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.