UConn

34-5

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

85.8%UConn

14.2%Xavier

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -11.5

PROJECTED TOTAL152.5

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -604

Xavier

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUConn 82

Projected Total152.5

Projected ScoreXavier 71

Team Comparison

UConnMetricXavier

70.2MMH Power Index49.5

116.3Offensive Efficiency109.2

98.4Defensive Efficiency112.4

17.9Net Efficiency-3.2

6.3Strength of Schedule5.6

9.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.4

66.2Tempo71.7

55.0%Effective FG%51.7%

16.4%Turnover Rate13.9%

35.4%Offensive Rebound %26.2%

30.7%Free Throw Rate28.9%

11.8Average Margin-2.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UConn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUConn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.2–49.5), offensive efficiency (116.3–109.2), defensive efficiency (98.4–112.4), net efficiency (17.9–-3.2).

Xavier COUNTERS WITHball security (13.9–16.4).

Final

UConn

80—75

Xavier

UConn by 5 • 69.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UConnTEAM STATXavier

31-57FG23-64

54.4%FG%35.9%

11-243PT7-21

45.8%3PT%33.3%

7-14FT22-27

50.0%FT%81.5%

30Rebounds42

8Offensive Rebounds20

27Assists16

12Turnovers14

11Steals6

7Blocks2

19Fouls19

Player Box Score

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cam Spencer	Guard	34	8-14	3-5	0-1	6	4	4	1	19
Tristen Newton	Guard	37	5-16	3-7	3-5	6	11	1	1	16
Alex Karaban	F	29	4-9	3-6	3-4	4	3	3	1	14
Stephon Castle	Guard	36	6-9	0-3	0-1	6	8	2	2	12
Hassan Diarra	Guard	23	4-4	2-2	1-2	3	0	0	0	11
Samson Johnson	Center	21	3-3	0-0	0-1	2	1	1	2	6
Jaylin Stewart	F	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Solo Ball	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Xavier

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quincy Olivari	Guard	35	6-15	2-5	10-12	7	2	2	0	24
Desmond Claude	G	37	3-12	2-3	7-8	6	5	1	0	15
Gytis Nemeiksa	F	22	4-5	2-2	0-0	5	2	0	0	10
Abou Ousmane	Forward	30	4-9	0-0	1-3	11	0	0	2	9
Dayvion McKnight	Guard	32	3-10	0-3	2-2	0	4	1	0	8
Trey Green	G	13	1-5	1-5	2-2	1	1	1	0	5
Dailyn Swain	G	11	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Sasa Ciani	F	6	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Lazar Djokovic	F	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	6	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.3Possessions69.3

115.4Offensive Efficiency108.2

108.2Defensive Efficiency115.4

7.2Net Efficiency-7.2

64.0%Effective FG%41.4%

62.8%True Shooting %48.8%

17.7%Turnover Rate19.8%

24.6%Free Throw Rate42.2%

42.1%3-Point Rate32.8%

2.25Assist / Turnover1.14

Game Summary

UConn won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 69.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.