Tennessee

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

89.7%Tennessee

10.3%Mississippi State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee -13.5

PROJECTED TOTAL156.9

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee -871

Mississippi State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTennessee 85

Projected Total156.9

Projected ScoreMississippi State 72

Team Comparison

TennesseeMetricMississippi State

68.6MMH Power Index44.6

115.8Offensive Efficiency107.4

102.1Defensive Efficiency113.2

13.7Net Efficiency-5.8

7.8Strength of Schedule5.0

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.5

68.1Tempo72.3

51.6%Effective FG%51.6%

17.3%Turnover Rate16.1%

44.5%Offensive Rebound %29.8%

38.6%Free Throw Rate30.9%

9.3Average Margin-4.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.6–44.6), offensive efficiency (115.8–107.4), defensive efficiency (102.1–113.2), net efficiency (13.7–-5.8).

Mississippi State COUNTERS WITHball security (16.1–17.3).

Final

Tennessee

72—77

Mississippi State

Mississippi State by 5 • 72.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TennesseeTEAM STATMississippi State

27-59FG26-52

45.8%FG%50.0%

8-293PT6-18

27.6%3PT%33.3%

10-16FT19-27

62.5%FT%70.4%

33Rebounds33

11Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists12

16Turnovers18

15Steals10

3Blocks3

20Fouls16

Player Box Score

Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dalton Knecht	Guard	37	10-18	4-9	4-6	6	1	3	0	28
Zakai Zeigler	Guard	37	9-15	4-9	4-5	2	7	3	1	26
Jonas Aidoo	Forward	20	4-5	0-0	1-2	5	0	1	1	9
Tobe Awaka	F	20	2-2	0-0	0-1	6	0	0	1	4
Josiah-Jordan James	Guard	33	1-8	0-3	1-2	6	0	2	0	3
Santiago Vescovi	Guard	22	1-4	0-3	0-0	1	4	3	0	2
Jahmai Mashack	Guard	18	0-2	0-1	0-0	6	0	2	0	0
Jordan Gainey	Guard	9	0-5	0-4	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Freddie Dilione V	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Hubbard	G	28	8-15	5-10	4-6	2	0	0	0	25
Tolu Smith	Forward	29	7-10	0-0	9-12	4	1	1	0	23
Cameron Matthews	Forward	24	3-4	0-0	2-5	3	2	2	0	8
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	21	2-3	0-1	2-2	3	1	0	0	6
Dashawn Davis	Guard	28	1-6	1-3	2-2	5	4	1	0	5
D.J. Jeffries	Forward	32	2-5	0-1	0-0	6	2	5	1	4
Shakeel Moore	Guard	23	2-5	0-2	0-0	5	2	1	1	4
Jimmy Bell Jr.	Forward	11	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Trey Fort	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.7Possessions72.7

99.0Offensive Efficiency105.9

105.9Defensive Efficiency99.0

-6.9Net Efficiency6.9

52.5%Effective FG%55.8%

54.1%True Shooting %59.4%

22.3%Turnover Rate24.4%

27.1%Free Throw Rate51.9%

49.2%3-Point Rate34.6%

0.75Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Mississippi State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 72.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.