Gonzaga

31-4

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

68.4%Gonzaga

31.6%Santa Clara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGonzaga -4.6

PROJECTED TOTAL155.9

MODEL MONEYLINEGonzaga -216

Santa Clara

26-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGonzaga 80

Projected Total155.9

Projected ScoreSanta Clara 76

Team Comparison

GonzagaMetricSanta Clara

76.4MMH Power Index64.9

119.7Offensive Efficiency118.7

94.0Defensive Efficiency104.4

25.7Net Efficiency14.3

3.0Strength of Schedule4.0

18.2Last 10 Net Efficiency4.1

70.4Tempo69.8

55.7%Effective FG%54.8%

13.6%Turnover Rate15.3%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %35.9%

31.5%Free Throw Rate25.3%

18.1Average Margin10.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Gonzaga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGonzaga holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.4–64.9), offensive efficiency (119.7–118.7), defensive efficiency (94.0–104.4), net efficiency (25.7–14.3).

Santa Clara COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (4.0–3.0), offensive rebounding (35.9–35.0).

Final

Gonzaga

76—77

Santa Clara

Santa Clara by 1 • 76.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

GonzagaTEAM STATSanta Clara

32-67FG29-65

47.8%FG%44.6%

2-203PT9-28

10.0%3PT%32.1%

10-14FT10-14

71.4%FT%71.4%

31Rebounds44

7Offensive Rebounds14

8Assists21

10Turnovers18

11Steals6

2Blocks2

15Fouls14

Player Box Score

Gonzaga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Anton Watson	Forward	40	14-18	0-2	4-4	9	1	6	0	32
Ryan Nembhard	Guard	40	9-19	1-6	2-3	4	5	1	0	21
Braden Huff	F	19	6-10	1-4	1-1	5	0	0	2	14
Graham Ike	F	17	2-6	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	5
Nolan Hickman	Guard	40	1-9	0-3	2-2	2	2	2	0	4
Ben Gregg	Forward	26	0-3	0-3	0-2	5	0	2	0	0
Dusty Stromer	G	18	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Santa Clara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adama-Alpha Bal	Guard	34	7-16	2-7	1-3	3	6	3	0	17
Brenton Knapper	G	28	5-8	4-6	2-3	5	4	1	1	16
Johnny O'Neil	Forward	28	5-9	1-4	0-0	5	2	0	0	11
Tyeree Bryan	G	28	4-10	2-5	0-0	8	2	0	0	10
Christoph Tilly	C	25	3-7	0-0	4-4	7	0	1	0	10
Carlos Marshall Jr.	Guard	17	1-7	0-4	2-2	2	2	1	0	4
Jalen Benjamin	Guard	13	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Francisco Caffaro	Center	16	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	3	0	1	3
Jake Ensminger	G	6	1-3	0-1	0-0	6	1	0	0	2
Camaron Tongue	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.2Possessions76.2

99.7Offensive Efficiency101.0

101.0Defensive Efficiency99.7

-1.3Net Efficiency1.3

49.3%Effective FG%51.5%

51.6%True Shooting %53.7%

13.0%Turnover Rate23.8%

20.9%Free Throw Rate21.5%

29.9%3-Point Rate43.1%

0.80Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

Santa Clara won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 76.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.