Minnesota

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.3%Minnesota

79.7%Indiana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIndiana -9.9

PROJECTED TOTAL144.6

MODEL MONEYLINEIndiana -393

Indiana

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMinnesota 67

Projected Total144.6

Projected ScoreIndiana 77

Team Comparison

MinnesotaMetricIndiana

50.5MMH Power Index58.2

109.1Offensive Efficiency116.0

107.7Defensive Efficiency107.1

1.4Net Efficiency8.9

3.2Strength of Schedule5.2

-6.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.7

63.6Tempo67.4

54.1%Effective FG%56.0%

16.5%Turnover Rate15.1%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

36.9%Free Throw Rate35.8%

0.9Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Indiana HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIndiana holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.2–50.5), offensive efficiency (116.0–109.1), defensive efficiency (107.1–107.7), net efficiency (8.9–1.4).

Minnesota COUNTERS WITHrecent form (-6.6–-7.7), free throw rate (36.9–35.8).

Final

Minnesota

62—74

Indiana

Indiana by 12 • 71.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MinnesotaTEAM STATIndiana

23-59FG26-60

39.0%FG%43.3%

3-203PT6-14

15.0%3PT%42.9%

13-24FT16-27

54.2%FT%59.3%

42Rebounds40

13Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists17

14Turnovers10

7Steals6

7Blocks2

22Fouls18

Player Box Score

Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Pharrel Payne	F	29	7-8	0-0	3-8	10	0	1	5	17
Dawson Garcia	Forward	25	4-7	0-2	6-7	9	1	1	0	14
Joshua Ola-Joseph	F	30	5-8	0-0	2-4	5	0	0	2	12
Cam Christie	Guard	28	2-10	2-6	1-3	5	1	0	0	7
Braeden Carrington	G	14	3-5	0-1	1-2	2	0	0	0	7
Elijah Hawkins	Guard	36	2-12	1-8	0-0	3	6	1	0	5
Mike Mitchell Jr.	Guard	20	0-6	0-2	0-0	1	1	2	0	0
Isaiah Ihnen	F	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	4	0	1	0	0
Parker Fox	Forward	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Indiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mackenzie Mgbako	F	34	6-12	2-4	5-7	4	2	1	0	19
Kel'el Ware	Center	32	6-11	2-2	3-5	14	2	0	2	17
Malik Reneau	F	30	7-15	0-1	2-5	6	3	0	0	16
Trey Galloway	Guard	25	4-5	2-3	0-2	3	7	4	0	10
Anthony Walker	Forward	16	3-7	0-1	3-3	3	1	0	0	9
Xavier Johnson	Guard	17	0-2	0-1	2-2	1	1	1	0	2
CJ Gunn	G	13	0-3	0-1	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Gabe Cupps	G	30	0-5	0-1	0-1	4	1	0	0	0
Kaleb Banks	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.1Possessions71.1

87.2Offensive Efficiency104.1

104.1Defensive Efficiency87.2

-16.9Net Efficiency16.9

41.5%Effective FG%48.3%

44.0%True Shooting %50.8%

19.6%Turnover Rate14.1%

40.7%Free Throw Rate45.0%

33.9%3-Point Rate23.3%

0.64Assist / Turnover1.70

Game Summary

Indiana won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 71.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.