Duke

35-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.3%Duke

57.7%Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArizona -3.1

PROJECTED TOTAL152.5

MODEL MONEYLINEArizona -136

Arizona

36-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDuke 75

Projected Total152.5

Projected ScoreArizona 78

Team Comparison

DukeMetricArizona

81.7MMH Power Index79.9

122.2Offensive Efficiency120.3

95.2Defensive Efficiency96.9

27.0Net Efficiency23.4

7.8Strength of Schedule8.0

18.7Last 10 Net Efficiency17.0

66.8Tempo71.6

56.9%Effective FG%55.0%

15.9%Turnover Rate15.1%

38.2%Offensive Rebound %37.8%

39.0%Free Throw Rate45.3%

18.0Average Margin16.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–79.9), offensive efficiency (122.2–120.3), defensive efficiency (95.2–96.9), net efficiency (27.0–23.4).

Arizona COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (8.0–7.8), ball security (15.1–15.9), free throw rate (45.3–39.0).

Final

Duke

69—55

Arizona

Duke by 14 • 67.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DukeTEAM STATArizona

26-61FG21-53

43.0%FG%40.0%

9-253PT6-23

36.0%3PT%26.0%

8-13FT7-11

62.0%FT%64.0%

43Rebounds30

13Offensive Rebounds6

15Assists16

14Turnovers15

8Steals9

4Blocks4

19Fouls14

Player Box Score

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cooper Flagg	Forward	38	10-22	2-5	2-4	7	3	1	3	24
Kon Knueppel	Guard	35	4-11	3-6	2-2	7	3	0	0	13
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	34	3-11	2-7	0-2	3	4	1	0	8
Caleb Foster	G	26	2-6	1-4	3-4	4	0	1	0	8
Khaman Maluach	Center	16	3-4	1-1	1-1	3	0	0	1	8
Sion James	Guard	20	3-5	0-1	0-0	6	2	1	0	6
Maliq Brown	F	24	1-1	0-0	0-0	7	3	3	0	2
Mason Gillis	Forward	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Bradley	G	34	8-16	2-6	0-0	0	3	5	0	18
KJ Lewis	G	31	4-10	1-2	3-3	6	1	3	0	12
Caleb Love	Guard	38	3-13	1-9	1-2	4	4	0	1	8
Carter Bryant	Forward	20	2-5	2-4	0-0	1	2	0	1	6
Motiejus Krivas	C	21	2-3	0-0	1-2	4	5	0	0	5
Trey Townsend	Forward	27	2-4	0-1	0-0	7	1	0	1	4
Henri Veesaar	C	13	0-1	0-1	2-4	5	0	1	1	2
Tobe Awaka	F	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Anthony Dell'Orso	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.7Possessions67.7

101.9Offensive Efficiency81.2

81.2Defensive Efficiency101.9

20.7Net Efficiency-20.7

50.0%Effective FG%45.3%

51.4%True Shooting %47.2%

20.5%Turnover Rate22.3%

21.3%Free Throw Rate20.8%

41.0%3-Point Rate43.4%

1.07Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

Duke won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 67.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.