Fairfield

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

74.7%Fairfield

25.3%Niagara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFairfield -6.5

PROJECTED TOTAL140.1

MODEL MONEYLINEFairfield -295

Niagara

8-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFairfield 73

Projected Total140.1

Projected ScoreNiagara 67

Team Comparison

FairfieldMetricNiagara

50.1MMH Power Index35.8

109.6Offensive Efficiency100.8

105.4Defensive Efficiency112.4

4.2Net Efficiency-11.6

-3.4Strength of Schedule-0.8

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.6

67.8Tempo63.4

49.1%Effective FG%50.9%

15.0%Turnover Rate18.8%

36.0%Offensive Rebound %24.9%

28.4%Free Throw Rate27.3%

2.8Average Margin-7.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fairfield HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFairfield holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.1–35.8), offensive efficiency (109.6–100.8), defensive efficiency (105.4–112.4), net efficiency (4.2–-11.6).

Niagara COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.8–-3.4), shooting efficiency (50.9–49.1).

Final

Fairfield

72—96

Niagara

Niagara by 24 • 67.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

FairfieldTEAM STATNiagara

24-58FG34-55

41.4%FG%61.8%

8-223PT10-15

36.4%3PT%66.7%

16-20FT18-23

80.0%FT%78.3%

23Rebounds33

6Offensive Rebounds6

14Assists15

8Turnovers6

3Steals2

1Blocks—

19Fouls19

Player Box Score

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Fields	Guard	35	6-14	3-8	4-4	1	2	1	0	19
Louis Bleechmore	Guard	29	5-9	2-4	5-7	3	0	0	1	17
Peyton Smith	F	21	5-6	1-1	1-1	4	1	0	0	12
James Johns Jr.	Guard	19	4-6	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	9
Jasper Floyd	G	29	2-10	0-2	2-2	7	3	2	0	6
Brycen Goodine	Guard	22	2-7	1-3	0-0	3	3	0	0	5
Jalen Leach	Not Available	27	0-5	0-2	3-4	4	4	0	0	3
Birima Seck	Forward	13	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	1	0	0	1
Jack Brown	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Luke Davidson	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ryan McPartlan	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Matt Curtis	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Anthony Davis Jr.	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Niagara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Ahmad Henderson II	G	28	7-11	2-2	4-4	4	2	0	20
Yaw Obeng-Mensah	Forward	29	6-8	0-0	4-7	7	2	0	16
Luke Bumbalough	Guard	28	5-6	4-5	0-0	4	7	0	14
Braxton Bayless	G	21	5-10	1-2	2-3	2	2	1	13
Kwane Marble	Guard	22	4-5	2-2	2-3	4	0	0	12
Dre Bullock	G	26	3-7	0-1	2-2	3	0	0	8
Harlan Obioha	C	15	2-4	0-0	2-2	6	2	0	6
Aime Rutayisire	Forward	9	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	1	4
Randy Tucker	Guard	15	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	3
Lance Erving	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Jalen Brown	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.7Possessions67.7

106.4Offensive Efficiency141.8

141.8Defensive Efficiency106.4

-35.5Net Efficiency35.5

48.3%Effective FG%70.9%

53.3%True Shooting %72.8%

11.5%Turnover Rate9.1%

34.5%Free Throw Rate41.8%

37.9%3-Point Rate27.3%

1.75Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Niagara won by 24 points. The game played at approximately 67.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.