Jacksonville

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.5%Jacksonville

42.5%North Florida

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville -2.5

PROJECTED TOTAL160.8

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville -135

North Florida

7-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville 82

Projected Total160.8

Projected ScoreNorth Florida 79

Team Comparison

JacksonvilleMetricNorth Florida

43.6MMH Power Index36.3

109.8Offensive Efficiency109.4

110.3Defensive Efficiency121.1

-0.5Net Efficiency-11.7

-4.8Strength of Schedule-0.6

-3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.3

66.6Tempo72.8

51.7%Effective FG%53.6%

16.9%Turnover Rate17.2%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

33.9%Free Throw Rate29.5%

-0.3Average Margin-8.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.6–36.3), offensive efficiency (109.8–109.4), defensive efficiency (110.3–121.1), net efficiency (-0.5–-11.7).

North Florida COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.6–-4.8), shooting efficiency (53.6–51.7).

Final

Jacksonville

74—82

North Florida

North Florida by 8 • 64.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

JacksonvilleTEAM STATNorth Florida

30-62FG28-47

48.4%FG%59.6%

3-143PT7-18

21.4%3PT%38.9%

11-16FT19-25

68.8%FT%76.0%

36Rebounds17

15Offensive Rebounds2

13Assists12

12Turnovers5

2Steals4

2Blocks5

21Fouls15

Player Box Score

Jacksonville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Niblack	G	29	8-15	0-0	2-3	6	4	0	0	18
Donovan Rivers	F	25	4-6	0-0	2-4	7	0	0	1	10
Robert McCray V	G	34	4-9	0-3	1-2	7	2	2	0	9
Gyasi Powell	Guard	31	3-11	1-6	2-2	1	2	0	0	9
Zach Bell	G	19	3-5	0-0	2-3	3	3	0	1	8
Jarius Cook	Guard	17	2-5	2-5	2-2	0	0	0	0	8
DeeJuan Pruitt	Forward	30	3-8	0-0	0-0	8	1	0	0	6
Stephon Payne	F	15	3-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	6

North Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dorian James	Guard	38	11-13	1-2	2-4	4	3	0	2	25
Chaz Lanier	Guard	37	8-12	3-6	2-2	1	1	1	0	21
Nate Lliteras	Guard	30	2-3	1-1	7-9	3	1	1	1	12
Jasai Miles	G	31	3-5	1-2	2-3	1	0	0	0	9
Jaylen Smith	G	24	2-9	0-4	4-4	2	6	1	0	8
Oscar Berry	Guard	24	2-2	1-1	0-1	0	1	1	0	5
Max Hrdlicka	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	1	2
Jake van der Heijden	Forward	13	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.3Possessions64.3

115.1Offensive Efficiency127.5

127.5Defensive Efficiency115.1

-12.4Net Efficiency12.4

50.8%Effective FG%67.0%

53.2%True Shooting %69.6%

18.0%Turnover Rate8.1%

25.8%Free Throw Rate53.2%

22.6%3-Point Rate38.3%

1.08Assist / Turnover2.40

Game Summary

North Florida won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 64.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.