DePaul

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.0%DePaul

85.0%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -11.6

PROJECTED TOTAL144.7

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -567

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDePaul 67

Projected Total144.7

Projected ScoreVillanova 78

Team Comparison

DePaulMetricVillanova

48.4MMH Power Index59.4

103.7Offensive Efficiency114.7

102.7Defensive Efficiency105.9

1.0Net Efficiency8.8

2.0Strength of Schedule4.4

-6.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

67.7Tempo67.3

49.9%Effective FG%53.9%

17.8%Turnover Rate15.0%

29.7%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

36.8%Free Throw Rate31.4%

0.7Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–48.4), offensive efficiency (114.7–103.7), net efficiency (8.8–1.0), strength of schedule (4.4–2.0).

DePaul COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.7–105.9), free throw rate (36.8–31.4).

Final

DePaul

69—94

Villanova

Villanova by 25 • 64.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DePaulTEAM STATVillanova

25-54FG33-59

46.3%FG%55.9%

8-203PT8-20

40.0%3PT%40.0%

11-16FT20-21

68.8%FT%95.2%

24Rebounds33

6Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists15

9Turnovers4

2Steals6

4Blocks2

15Fouls14

Player Box Score

DePaul

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Da'Sean Nelson	Forward	25	7-12	1-1	5-7	6	0	0	1	20
Chico Carter Jr.	Guard	33	6-9	2-4	0-0	0	1	1	0	14
Jalen Terry	Guard	29	4-9	2-5	2-2	5	6	0	0	12
Jeremiah Oden	F	35	4-10	1-5	0-0	2	1	0	1	9
K.T. Raimey	Guard	25	1-5	1-3	2-2	2	5	1	0	5
Elijah Fisher	G	20	1-3	1-1	0-2	3	0	0	0	3
Jaden Henley	G	15	0-2	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Mac Etienne	Forward	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2	2
Churchill Abass	F	6	1-2	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	2
Dramane Camara	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eric Dixon	Forward	26	9-12	0-1	6-6	6	1	3	0	24
Brendan Hausen	G	23	6-7	5-6	0-0	2	0	0	0	17
Mark Armstrong	Guard	26	6-9	1-1	2-2	1	2	2	0	15
Tyler Burton	Forward	28	4-12	0-5	6-7	10	4	0	0	14
TJ Bamba	Guard	30	3-5	2-3	2-2	3	3	1	0	10
Lance Ware	Forward	16	2-3	0-0	4-4	6	2	0	1	8
Hakim Hart	Guard	23	2-5	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Justin Moore	Guard	23	1-6	0-3	0-0	2	3	0	1	2
Chris Arcidiacono	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Collin O'Toole	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.8Possessions64.8

106.5Offensive Efficiency145.1

145.1Defensive Efficiency106.5

-38.6Net Efficiency38.6

53.7%Effective FG%62.7%

56.0%True Shooting %68.1%

13.9%Turnover Rate6.2%

29.6%Free Throw Rate35.6%

37.0%3-Point Rate33.9%

1.44Assist / Turnover3.75

Game Summary

Villanova won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 64.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.