Boise State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.8%Boise State

63.2%Nevada

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNevada -4.1

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINENevada -172

Nevada

24-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoise State 74

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreNevada 78

Team Comparison

Boise StateMetricNevada

59.5MMH Power Index59.8

113.9Offensive Efficiency112.4

107.1Defensive Efficiency105.7

6.8Net Efficiency6.7

4.2Strength of Schedule3.7

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency7.8

68.6Tempo67.7

52.7%Effective FG%50.2%

17.0%Turnover Rate14.8%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %31.9%

42.7%Free Throw Rate46.0%

4.7Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (113.9–112.4), net efficiency (6.8–6.7), strength of schedule (4.2–3.7), shooting efficiency (52.7–50.2).

Nevada COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (59.8–59.5), defensive efficiency (105.7–107.1), recent form (7.8–5.2).

Final

Boise State

64—56

Nevada

Boise State by 8 • 68.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boise StateTEAM STATNevada

21-51FG18-50

41.2%FG%36.0%

5-223PT3-12

22.7%3PT%25.0%

17-20FT17-22

85.0%FT%77.3%

43Rebounds24

11Offensive Rebounds2

12Assists12

18Turnovers11

4Steals10

—Blocks5

21Fouls18

Player Box Score

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	36	6-9	1-3	7-8	9	4	2	20
Roddie Anderson	G	35	5-11	1-6	1-2	2	4	2	12
Chibuzo Agbo	Guard	33	5-9	2-5	0-0	9	1	0	12
Max Rice	Guard	34	3-8	1-4	3-4	8	1	0	10
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	32	1-8	0-1	6-6	9	0	0	8
Andrew Meadow	F	13	1-4	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	2
Cam Martin	Forward	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0
Jace Whiting	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Nevada

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jarod Lucas	Guard	36	5-14	1-6	3-4	1	4	1	0	14
Nick Davidson	F	32	3-8	1-4	5-5	5	2	1	0	12
Tre Coleman	Forward	34	3-3	0-0	2-3	6	3	3	0	8
K.J. Hymes	Forward	18	1-2	0-0	2-2	4	0	2	3	4
Tyler Rolison	G	8	1-4	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Daniel Foster	Guard	22	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	1	0
Hunter McIntosh	Guard	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tylan Pope	Forward	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.5Possessions68.5

93.4Offensive Efficiency81.8

81.8Defensive Efficiency93.4

11.7Net Efficiency-11.7

46.1%Effective FG%39.0%

52.9%True Shooting %46.3%

26.7%Turnover Rate15.8%

39.2%Free Throw Rate44.0%

43.1%3-Point Rate24.0%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.09

Game Summary

Boise State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 68.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.