Penn State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.9%Penn State

98.1%Purdue

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPurdue -25.8

PROJECTED TOTAL155.3

MODEL MONEYLINEPurdue -5163

Purdue

30-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePenn State 65

Projected Total155.3

Projected ScorePurdue 91

Team Comparison

Penn StateMetricPurdue

42.3MMH Power Index73.2

109.2Offensive Efficiency124.8

117.6Defensive Efficiency107.8

-8.4Net Efficiency17.0

5.3Strength of Schedule7.6

-20.8Last 10 Net Efficiency11.8

67.5Tempo65.4

53.4%Effective FG%57.8%

15.6%Turnover Rate13.7%

25.6%Offensive Rebound %36.2%

34.6%Free Throw Rate29.1%

-5.7Average Margin11.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Purdue HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY98.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPurdue holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (73.2–42.3), offensive efficiency (124.8–109.2), defensive efficiency (107.8–117.6), net efficiency (17.0–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (34.6–29.1).

Final

Penn State

78—95

Purdue

Purdue by 17 • 74.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Penn StateTEAM STATPurdue

29-65FG32-55

44.6%FG%58.2%

9-283PT11-24

32.1%3PT%45.8%

11-17FT20-29

64.7%FT%69.0%

24Rebounds43

6Offensive Rebounds10

19Assists26

9Turnovers14

9Steals3

—Blocks3

22Fouls15

Player Box Score

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	26	7-9	1-2	3-4	4	1	0	18
Kanye Clary	G	28	6-16	3-5	1-3	1	1	0	16
Jameel Brown	G	17	5-9	3-7	0-1	3	0	1	13
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	35	2-8	0-3	3-4	2	13	5	7
Zach Hicks	Forward	18	2-5	2-4	0-0	2	0	1	6
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	15	2-7	0-4	1-1	1	2	0	5
Qudus Wahab	Forward	23	1-3	0-0	2-2	3	0	1	4
Demetrius Lilley	C	15	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	4
Puff Johnson	G	15	1-3	0-1	1-2	0	0	1	3
Leo O'Boyle	Forward	5	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	2
RayQuawndis Mitchell	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0
Favour Aire	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Purdue

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zach Edey	Center	30	10-12	0-0	10-14	20	3	0	3	30
Lance Jones	Guard	22	5-9	3-7	1-1	4	4	0	0	14
Fletcher Loyer	G	22	4-8	1-3	2-2	2	3	0	0	11
Camden Heide	F	12	2-2	2-2	2-3	1	0	0	0	8
Mason Gillis	Forward	18	2-5	2-5	1-1	1	2	0	0	7
Caleb Furst	Forward	13	3-4	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	7
Myles Colvin	G	11	3-6	1-3	0-2	2	1	0	0	7
Braden Smith	G	32	2-5	2-3	0-0	4	11	1	0	6
Trey Kaufman-Renn	F	16	1-4	0-1	3-4	2	0	0	0	5
Ethan Morton	Guard	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	0	0
Brian Waddell	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
William Berg	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Chase Martin	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Carson Barrett	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.4Possessions74.4

104.8Offensive Efficiency127.7

127.7Defensive Efficiency104.8

-22.8Net Efficiency22.8

51.5%Effective FG%68.2%

53.4%True Shooting %69.1%

11.8%Turnover Rate19.2%

26.2%Free Throw Rate52.7%

43.1%3-Point Rate43.6%

2.11Assist / Turnover1.86

Game Summary

Purdue won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 74.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.