UCF

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.9%UCF

79.1%Wisconsin

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWisconsin -9.4

PROJECTED TOTAL163.2

MODEL MONEYLINEWisconsin -378

Wisconsin

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUCF 77

Projected Total163.2

Projected ScoreWisconsin 86

Team Comparison

UCFMetricWisconsin

57.1MMH Power Index64.5

113.3Offensive Efficiency118.6

110.0Defensive Efficiency108.8

3.3Net Efficiency9.8

6.6Strength of Schedule6.7

-3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency5.6

71.2Tempo69.9

53.0%Effective FG%54.6%

16.0%Turnover Rate12.8%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %28.7%

31.1%Free Throw Rate32.5%

2.4Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wisconsin HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWisconsin holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.5–57.1), offensive efficiency (118.6–113.3), defensive efficiency (108.8–110.0), net efficiency (9.8–3.3).

UCF COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (34.3–28.7).

Final

UCF

70—86

Wisconsin

Wisconsin by 16 • 77.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UCFTEAM STATWisconsin

21-62FG32-66

34.0%FG%48.0%

2-173PT10-31

12.0%3PT%32.0%

26-37FT12-16

70.0%FT%75.0%

41Rebounds39

13Offensive Rebounds8

10Assists21

10Turnovers13

5Steals5

3Blocks3

17Fouls26

Player Box Score

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Ivy-Curry	Guard	25	3-14	1-3	6-8	4	1	0	0	13
Keyshawn Hall	F	29	4-11	0-2	3-5	5	1	0	0	11
Dior Johnson	G	13	3-4	0-0	5-6	1	4	2	0	11
Darius Johnson	Guard	27	2-9	0-3	3-4	4	1	1	0	7
Moustapha Thiam	C	19	2-4	1-2	2-2	3	0	1	0	7
Benny Williams	Forward	17	2-5	0-1	2-5	2	0	0	2	6
Rokas Jocius	F	16	3-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	6
Nils Machowski	G	15	1-2	0-1	2-3	1	0	0	0	4
JJ Taylor	F	20	1-6	0-2	1-2	9	3	1	0	3
Dallan Coleman	Guard	16	0-4	0-3	2-2	5	0	0	0	2
Tyler Hendricks	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Wisconsin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
John Blackwell	G	26	6-10	2-4	3-5	5	3	0	0	17
John Tonje	Guard	30	6-14	0-3	3-4	6	4	0	0	15
Kamari McGee	Guard	19	5-6	3-4	1-1	4	3	1	0	14
Nolan Winter	F	28	5-8	1-2	2-3	10	1	0	0	13
Max Klesmit	Guard	27	3-9	2-7	0-0	3	3	3	0	8
Steve Crowl	Forward	14	3-6	0-2	0-0	4	3	0	0	6
Xavier Amos	F	15	2-7	0-4	1-1	5	1	0	0	5
Jack Janicki	G	14	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	1	1	3
Jack Robison	F	1	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Carter Gilmore	Forward	20	0-2	0-2	2-2	0	2	0	2	2
Markus Ilver	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Chris Hodges	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaac Gard	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Daniel Freitag	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.6Possessions77.6

90.2Offensive Efficiency110.8

110.8Defensive Efficiency90.2

-20.6Net Efficiency20.6

35.5%Effective FG%56.1%

44.0%True Shooting %58.4%

13.1%Turnover Rate16.5%

59.7%Free Throw Rate24.2%

27.4%3-Point Rate47.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.62

Game Summary

Wisconsin won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 77.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.