Cincinnati

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.5%Cincinnati

55.5%Baylor

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBaylor -2.3

PROJECTED TOTAL150.9

MODEL MONEYLINEBaylor -125

Baylor

16-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCincinnati 74

Projected Total150.9

Projected ScoreBaylor 77

Team Comparison

CincinnatiMetricBaylor

61.5MMH Power Index58.9

105.3Offensive Efficiency116.7

97.3Defensive Efficiency109.5

8.0Net Efficiency7.2

5.1Strength of Schedule4.0

14.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.2

69.4Tempo69.7

50.6%Effective FG%54.4%

17.0%Turnover Rate16.4%

30.6%Offensive Rebound %37.5%

30.7%Free Throw Rate34.8%

5.5Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cincinnati HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCincinnati holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.5–58.9), defensive efficiency (97.3–109.5), net efficiency (8.0–7.2), strength of schedule (5.1–4.0).

Baylor COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (116.7–105.3), shooting efficiency (54.4–50.6), ball security (16.4–17.0).

Final

Cincinnati

59—62

Baylor

Baylor by 3 • 63.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CincinnatiTEAM STATBaylor

24-61FG22-48

39.3%FG%45.8%

4-213PT5-20

19.0%3PT%25.0%

7-12FT13-18

58.3%FT%72.2%

32Rebounds32

12Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists13

10Turnovers12

7Steals4

1Blocks2

16Fouls14

Player Box Score

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	33	9-14	4-6	2-3	6	1	1	0	24
Day Day Thomas	G	29	6-15	0-5	3-3	2	2	0	0	15
Viktor Lakhin	Center	24	3-5	0-0	1-2	1	1	2	0	7
Jamille Reynolds	Forward	21	3-6	0-0	1-4	6	0	0	1	7
John Newman III	Forward	34	1-4	0-1	0-0	7	1	0	0	2
Simas Lukosius	Guard	32	1-10	0-7	0-0	3	5	2	0	2
Jizzle James	G	11	1-6	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Josh Reed	F	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	2	0	0
Ody Oguama	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ja'Kobe Walter	Guard	37	4-11	1-6	5-6	7	1	1	0	14
Langston Love	G	30	4-10	3-6	3-4	2	0	0	1	14
RayJ Dennis	Guard	38	5-7	1-2	0-0	3	9	2	0	11
Josh Ojianwuna	F	25	4-5	0-0	3-4	4	0	0	0	11
Jalen Bridges	Forward	34	1-6	0-5	2-2	8	2	1	1	4
Jayden Nunn	Guard	15	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Yves Missi	Center	13	2-4	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0	4
Caleb Lohner	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua	Forward	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Miro Little	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.2Possessions63.2

93.4Offensive Efficiency98.1

98.1Defensive Efficiency93.4

-4.7Net Efficiency4.7

42.6%Effective FG%51.0%

44.2%True Shooting %54.8%

15.5%Turnover Rate19.5%

19.7%Free Throw Rate37.5%

34.4%3-Point Rate41.7%

1.10Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Baylor won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 63.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.