LSU

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.2%LSU

83.8%Auburn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAuburn -10.0

PROJECTED TOTAL165.5

MODEL MONEYLINEAuburn -517

Auburn

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLSU 78

Projected Total165.5

Projected ScoreAuburn 88

Team Comparison

LSUMetricAuburn

54.2MMH Power Index64.4

115.5Offensive Efficiency118.8

111.3Defensive Efficiency113.0

4.2Net Efficiency5.8

4.5Strength of Schedule7.5

-12.8Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

70.5Tempo69.8

53.4%Effective FG%53.1%

15.6%Turnover Rate14.5%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %36.5%

41.9%Free Throw Rate43.8%

2.9Average Margin4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Auburn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAuburn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.4–54.2), offensive efficiency (118.8–115.5), net efficiency (5.8–4.2), strength of schedule (7.5–4.5).

LSU COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (111.3–113.0), shooting efficiency (53.4–53.1).

Final

LSU

78—93

Auburn

Auburn by 15 • 75.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LSUTEAM STATAuburn

25-60FG28-61

41.7%FG%45.9%

9-233PT10-25

39.1%3PT%40.0%

19-25FT27-31

76.0%FT%87.1%

39Rebounds32

12Offensive Rebounds8

12Assists20

16Turnovers8

6Steals15

3Blocks7

21Fouls18

Player Box Score

LSU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Wright	Guard	36	5-13	1-2	7-7	7	3	0	1	18
Trae Hannibal	Guard	23	5-6	1-1	7-7	4	2	2	0	18
Will Baker	Forward	29	4-9	0-3	5-8	10	1	0	0	13
Tyrell Ward	G	27	4-9	4-7	0-0	1	0	0	2	12
Jalen Reed	F	21	3-7	1-3	0-1	2	3	1	0	7
Jalen Cook	Guard	19	3-9	1-5	0-0	4	0	1	0	7
Mike Williams III	G	13	1-3	1-1	0-2	1	1	0	0	3
Derek Fountain	Forward	19	0-2	0-1	0-0	4	0	1	0	0
Hunter Dean	Forward	11	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	2	1	0	0
Mwani Wilkinson	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	28	5-10	3-4	6-6	2	3	5	1	19
Johni Broome	Forward	22	6-12	1-1	5-6	7	1	3	0	18
Aden Holloway	G	23	5-13	3-10	0-0	1	3	1	0	13
Tre Donaldson	G	17	3-5	0-1	4-4	3	3	2	0	10
Jaylin Williams	Forward	24	2-2	2-2	3-5	7	3	1	0	9
K.D. Johnson	Guard	21	1-6	0-2	6-6	3	1	0	0	8
Chaney Johnson	Forward	16	3-4	1-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	7
Dylan Cardwell	Center	17	1-2	0-0	3-4	6	3	1	5	5
Denver Jones	Guard	19	2-5	0-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	4
Chris Moore	Forward	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	1	0
Lior Berman	Guard	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.8Possessions75.8

102.9Offensive Efficiency122.7

122.7Defensive Efficiency102.9

-19.8Net Efficiency19.8

49.2%Effective FG%54.1%

54.3%True Shooting %61.4%

21.1%Turnover Rate10.6%

41.7%Free Throw Rate50.8%

38.3%3-Point Rate41.0%

0.75Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Auburn won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 75.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.