Utah State

29-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

71.7%Utah State

28.3%UNLV

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -6.2

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -253

UNLV

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah State 82

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreUNLV 76

Team Comparison

Utah StateMetricUNLV

65.7MMH Power Index52.8

119.7Offensive Efficiency111.0

103.1Defensive Efficiency109.6

16.6Net Efficiency1.4

3.5Strength of Schedule2.7

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency1.1

68.6Tempo71.4

56.9%Effective FG%53.7%

15.1%Turnover Rate17.2%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

39.1%Free Throw Rate41.6%

11.4Average Margin1.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–52.8), offensive efficiency (119.7–111.0), defensive efficiency (103.1–109.6), net efficiency (16.6–1.4).

UNLV COUNTERS WITHrecent form (1.1–0.3), free throw rate (41.6–39.1).

Final

Utah State

87—86

UNLV

Utah State by 1 • 68.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Utah StateTEAM STATUNLV

27-56FG28-63

48.2%FG%44.4%

10-213PT7-24

47.6%3PT%29.2%

23-25FT23-30

92.0%FT%76.7%

36Rebounds34

10Offensive Rebounds14

17Assists17

11Turnovers5

5Steals7

3Blocks2

20Fouls18

Player Box Score

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Great Osobor	Forward	39	6-12	0-1	12-13	14	4	0	2	24
Ian Martinez	Guard	34	7-13	6-8	4-4	3	5	1	1	24
Darius Brown II	Guard	39	3-7	2-4	2-2	1	4	0	0	10
Josh Uduje	Guard	22	4-10	1-4	0-0	3	0	1	0	9
Kalifa Sakho	F	20	3-4	0-0	1-1	5	0	0	0	7
Mason Falslev	G	20	2-5	0-1	2-2	2	1	1	0	6
Isaac Johnson	C	10	1-2	1-2	2-2	1	2	2	0	5
Karson Templin	F	11	1-2	0-0	0-1	4	1	0	0	2
Javon Jackson	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UNLV

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Luis Rodriguez	Guard	37	7-14	3-6	6-7	9	0	2	0	23
Kalib Boone	Forward	35	6-12	0-0	6-7	6	1	4	1	18
Rob Whaley Jr.	F	23	4-6	0-0	3-6	8	2	0	1	11
Dedan Thomas Jr.	G	37	3-8	0-3	4-5	1	11	1	0	10
Jackie Johnson III	Guard	29	4-10	2-7	0-0	1	1	0	0	10
Keylan Boone	Forward	21	3-8	2-5	2-3	4	0	0	0	10
Justin Webster	Guard	14	1-4	0-3	2-2	2	2	0	0	4
Brooklyn Hicks	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Shane Nowell	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.6Possessions68.6

126.8Offensive Efficiency125.4

125.4Defensive Efficiency126.8

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

57.1%Effective FG%50.0%

64.1%True Shooting %55.7%

16.0%Turnover Rate7.3%

44.6%Free Throw Rate47.6%

37.5%3-Point Rate38.1%

1.55Assist / Turnover3.40

Game Summary

Utah State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 68.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.