Little Rock

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.5%Little Rock

96.5%Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -22.1

PROJECTED TOTAL161.6

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -2757

Arkansas

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 70

Projected Total161.6

Projected ScoreArkansas 92

Team Comparison

Little RockMetricArkansas

44MMH Power Index69.3

103.0Offensive Efficiency122.2

108.2Defensive Efficiency109.8

-5.2Net Efficiency12.4

0.5Strength of Schedule8.6

-0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

68.5Tempo73.8

50.3%Effective FG%56.4%

18.7%Turnover Rate12.2%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

28.6%Free Throw Rate36.5%

-3.6Average Margin9.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–44.0), offensive efficiency (122.2–103.0), net efficiency (12.4–-5.2), strength of schedule (8.6–0.5).

Little Rock COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (108.2–109.8), offensive rebounding (32.1–31.8).

Final

Little Rock

67—79

Arkansas

Arkansas by 12 • 76.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Little RockTEAM STATArkansas

22-59FG25-53

37.0%FG%47.0%

6-223PT7-24

27.0%3PT%29.0%

17-23FT22-27

74.0%FT%81.0%

36Rebounds38

13Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists12

19Turnovers19

7Steals15

1Blocks4

19Fouls20

Player Box Score

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mwani Wilkinson	Guard	37	5-14	2-8	6-6	5	1	2	0	18
Johnathan Lawson	G	40	5-14	2-8	3-3	12	5	2	1	15
Isaiah Lewis	G	30	5-14	2-5	1-2	6	1	2	0	13
Ante Beljan	F	31	2-6	0-0	6-10	4	2	1	0	10
Christian Hughes	G	30	3-5	0-1	0-0	5	2	0	0	6
Caleb Pennyfeather	F	12	1-3	0-0	1-2	1	2	0	0	3
Jordan Jefferson	Guard	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Tuongthach Gatkek	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adou Thiero	Forward	29	7-9	0-1	9-10	8	0	6	2	23
Boogie Fland	G	38	6-11	3-5	6-7	4	7	3	0	21
D.J. Wagner	G	38	4-10	3-6	0-0	5	1	3	0	11
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	25	3-5	1-3	3-4	3	0	1	2	10
Billy Richmond III	G	20	2-2	0-0	2-2	6	1	0	0	6
Karter Knox	G	19	2-11	0-6	2-4	4	1	0	0	6
Johnell Davis	Guard	31	1-5	0-3	0-0	3	2	2	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

76.4Possessions76.4

87.7Offensive Efficiency103.4

103.4Defensive Efficiency87.7

-15.7Net Efficiency15.7

42.4%Effective FG%53.8%

47.9%True Shooting %60.0%

25.0%Turnover Rate24.7%

39.0%Free Throw Rate50.9%

37.3%3-Point Rate45.3%

0.68Assist / Turnover0.63

Game Summary

Arkansas won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 76.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.