Villanova

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.0%Villanova

43.0%Marquette

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -1.8

PROJECTED TOTAL151.7

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -133

Marquette

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVillanova 77

Projected Total151.7

Projected ScoreMarquette 75

Team Comparison

VillanovaMetricMarquette

59.4MMH Power Index52.3

114.7Offensive Efficiency106.0

105.9Defensive Efficiency106.9

8.8Net Efficiency-0.9

4.4Strength of Schedule4.2

-1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency3.5

67.3Tempo70.9

53.9%Effective FG%50.5%

15.0%Turnover Rate16.0%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %29.3%

31.4%Free Throw Rate33.8%

5.9Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–52.3), offensive efficiency (114.7–106.0), defensive efficiency (105.9–106.9), net efficiency (8.8–-0.9).

Marquette COUNTERS WITHrecent form (3.5–-1.1), free throw rate (33.8–31.4).

Final

Villanova

74—87

Marquette

Marquette by 13 • 65.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VillanovaTEAM STATMarquette

25-53FG37-63

47.2%FG%58.7%

14-333PT7-23

42.4%3PT%30.4%

10-14FT6-8

71.4%FT%75.0%

27Rebounds29

6Offensive Rebounds5

11Assists24

12Turnovers3

2Steals9

1Blocks4

11Fouls13

Player Box Score

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Armstrong	Guard	30	8-15	5-9	3-3	2	3	1	1	24
Eric Dixon	Forward	33	5-10	3-5	2-3	5	3	0	0	15
Brendan Hausen	G	19	3-5	3-5	2-3	2	0	1	0	11
Justin Moore	Guard	30	3-7	2-6	0-0	0	2	0	0	8
TJ Bamba	Guard	29	2-5	0-3	2-2	3	2	0	0	6
Tyler Burton	Forward	22	2-6	1-3	1-2	10	0	0	0	6
Hakim Hart	Guard	23	1-4	0-2	0-1	0	1	0	0	2
Lance Ware	Forward	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Marquette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kam Jones	Guard	36	10-12	2-4	0-2	6	4	1	0	22
Tyler Kolek	Guard	38	7-14	1-5	6-6	5	11	2	0	21
Oso Ighodaro	Center	37	9-11	0-0	0-0	7	5	3	0	18
Stevie Mitchell	Guard	26	4-10	1-2	0-0	2	1	3	0	9
David Joplin	Forward	26	3-7	1-5	0-0	2	0	0	1	7
Zaide Lowery	G	13	2-3	2-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Ben Gold	F	17	1-4	0-3	0-0	1	3	0	3	2
Tre Norman	G	7	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

65.3Possessions65.3

113.3Offensive Efficiency133.2

133.2Defensive Efficiency113.3

-19.9Net Efficiency19.9

60.4%Effective FG%64.3%

62.0%True Shooting %65.1%

18.3%Turnover Rate4.6%

26.4%Free Throw Rate12.7%

62.3%3-Point Rate36.5%

0.92Assist / Turnover8.00

Game Summary

Marquette won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 65.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.