Wisconsin

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

87.7%Wisconsin

12.3%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWisconsin -11.9

PROJECTED TOTAL159.5

MODEL MONEYLINEWisconsin -713

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWisconsin 86

Projected Total159.5

Projected ScorePenn State 74

Team Comparison

WisconsinMetricPenn State

64.5MMH Power Index42.3

118.6Offensive Efficiency109.2

108.8Defensive Efficiency117.6

9.8Net Efficiency-8.4

6.7Strength of Schedule5.3

5.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

69.9Tempo67.5

54.6%Effective FG%53.4%

12.8%Turnover Rate15.6%

28.7%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

32.5%Free Throw Rate34.6%

6.9Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wisconsin HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWisconsin holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.5–42.3), offensive efficiency (118.6–109.2), defensive efficiency (108.8–117.6), net efficiency (9.8–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (34.6–32.5).

Final

Wisconsin

83—87

Penn State

Penn State by 4 • 71.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WisconsinTEAM STATPenn State

28-58FG32-60

48.3%FG%53.3%

7-163PT8-20

43.8%3PT%40.0%

20-23FT15-20

87.0%FT%75.0%

36Rebounds25

11Offensive Rebounds4

15Assists11

13Turnovers6

2Steals8

4Blocks6

16Fouls22

Player Box Score

Wisconsin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Storr	G	34	7-17	3-7	6-6	5	2	0	0	23
Steve Crowl	Forward	31	8-11	0-0	1-1	11	3	0	2	17
John Blackwell	G	23	3-8	1-2	7-8	2	0	0	0	14
Tyler Wahl	Forward	33	3-7	0-0	5-6	7	2	1	1	11
Max Klesmit	Guard	15	4-5	2-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	10
Connor Essegian	G	7	1-3	0-2	1-2	1	1	0	0	3
Markus Ilver	Forward	5	1-1	1-1	0-0	5	1	0	1	3
Nolan Winter	F	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Chucky Hepburn	Guard	37	0-4	0-2	0-0	1	5	1	0	0
Carter Gilmore	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kamari McGee	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kanye Clary	G	38	11-20	0-3	5-7	4	3	1	0	27
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	35	7-11	4-5	2-2	3	5	2	0	20
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	25	4-7	0-0	7-9	1	0	2	0	15
Zach Hicks	Forward	32	3-7	3-6	0-0	2	1	0	0	9
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	12	2-3	0-0	1-2	0	1	0	0	5
Demetrius Lilley	C	18	2-2	0-0	0-0	6	0	2	1	4
Qudus Wahab	Forward	13	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	4	4
Leo O'Boyle	Forward	13	1-4	1-4	0-0	1	0	1	1	3
Puff Johnson	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jameel Brown	G	6	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.2Possessions71.2

116.6Offensive Efficiency122.2

122.2Defensive Efficiency116.6

-5.6Net Efficiency5.6

54.3%Effective FG%60.0%

60.2%True Shooting %62.6%

18.3%Turnover Rate8.4%

39.7%Free Throw Rate33.3%

27.6%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.15Assist / Turnover1.83

Game Summary

Penn State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 71.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.