Utah State

29-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.9%Utah State

57.1%New Mexico

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico -2.8

PROJECTED TOTAL155.1

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico -133

New Mexico

26-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah State 76

Projected Total155.1

Projected ScoreNew Mexico 79

Team Comparison

Utah StateMetricNew Mexico

65.7MMH Power Index63.7

119.7Offensive Efficiency114.8

103.1Defensive Efficiency100.2

16.6Net Efficiency14.6

3.5Strength of Schedule2.0

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency8.3

68.6Tempo70.7

56.9%Effective FG%53.7%

15.1%Turnover Rate14.8%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

39.1%Free Throw Rate36.5%

11.4Average Margin10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–63.7), offensive efficiency (119.7–114.8), net efficiency (16.6–14.6), strength of schedule (3.5–2.0).

New Mexico COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.2–103.1), recent form (8.3–0.3), ball security (14.8–15.1).

Final

Utah State

86—99

New Mexico

New Mexico by 13 • 78.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Utah StateTEAM STATNew Mexico

30-68FG39-68

44.1%FG%57.4%

4-173PT5-19

23.5%3PT%26.3%

22-30FT16-17

73.3%FT%94.1%

40Rebounds32

17Offensive Rebounds5

14Assists21

14Turnovers7

2Steals12

6Blocks10

14Fouls22

Player Box Score

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ian Martinez	Guard	38	6-13	3-4	7-7	3	0	0	3	22
Mason Falslev	G	36	8-13	0-2	3-4	9	2	1	0	19
Great Osobor	Forward	35	5-9	0-0	5-11	8	2	1	2	15
Josh Uduje	Guard	30	6-13	0-3	1-1	4	3	0	0	13
Darius Brown II	Guard	31	4-13	1-5	2-3	4	5	0	0	11
Kalifa Sakho	F	19	1-3	0-0	2-2	4	1	0	0	4
Karson Templin	F	2	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Isaac Johnson	C	6	0-4	0-3	0-0	2	1	0	1	0
Javon Jackson	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

New Mexico

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nelly Junior Joseph	Center	33	11-12	0-0	4-4	8	1	3	5	26
Donovan Dent	G	36	7-10	0-0	1-1	3	14	3	2	15
Jaelen House	Guard	26	6-12	2-6	0-0	1	1	2	0	14
JT Toppin	F	19	5-6	0-1	2-3	5	0	1	1	12
Mustapha Amzil	Forward	18	4-6	2-4	2-2	4	1	0	0	12
Jamal Mashburn Jr.	Guard	37	3-13	1-6	3-3	1	4	0	0	10
Tru Washington	G	21	3-9	0-2	0-0	3	0	3	2	6
Isaac Mushila	Forward	9	0-0	0-0	4-4	3	0	0	0	4
Sebastian Forsling	Center	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.7Possessions78.7

109.3Offensive Efficiency125.8

125.8Defensive Efficiency109.3

-16.5Net Efficiency16.5

47.1%Effective FG%61.0%

52.3%True Shooting %65.1%

17.7%Turnover Rate9.0%

44.1%Free Throw Rate25.0%

25.0%3-Point Rate27.9%

1.00Assist / Turnover3.00

Game Summary

New Mexico won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 78.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.