TCU

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.0%TCU

67.0%Cincinnati

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCincinnati -5.2

PROJECTED TOTAL145.8

MODEL MONEYLINECincinnati -203

Cincinnati

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTCU 70

Projected Total145.8

Projected ScoreCincinnati 75

Team Comparison

TCUMetricCincinnati

59.7MMH Power Index61.5

110.2Offensive Efficiency105.3

102.7Defensive Efficiency97.3

7.5Net Efficiency8.0

4.6Strength of Schedule5.1

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency14.4

70.2Tempo69.4

50.5%Effective FG%50.6%

15.3%Turnover Rate17.0%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %30.6%

38.3%Free Throw Rate30.7%

5.3Average Margin5.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cincinnati HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCincinnati holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.5–59.7), defensive efficiency (97.3–102.7), net efficiency (8.0–7.5), strength of schedule (5.1–4.6).

TCU COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.2–105.3), ball security (15.3–17.0), offensive rebounding (33.6–30.6).

Final

TCU

77—81

Cincinnati

Cincinnati by 4 • 77.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TCUTEAM STATCincinnati

30-72FG32-61

42.0%FG%52.0%

11-253PT6-16

44.0%3PT%38.0%

6-12FT11-21

50.0%FT%52.0%

41Rebounds35

18Offensive Rebounds9

20Assists17

19Turnovers15

10Steals8

2Blocks6

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

TCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trevian Tennyson	Guard	39	6-12	5-8	0-0	3	2	1	0	17
Emanuel Miller	Forward	39	5-14	2-5	3-4	3	5	1	0	15
Jameer Nelson Jr.	Guard	26	6-15	1-5	0-2	5	4	0	0	13
Micah Peavy	Not Available	35	4-9	1-1	2-4	5	2	2	0	11
Ernest Udeh Jr.	C	24	5-8	0-0	1-2	9	1	5	0	11
JaKobe Coles	Forward	18	3-8	1-3	0-0	3	0	1	1	7
Avery Anderson III	Guard	25	1-5	1-3	0-0	2	6	0	1	3
Essam Mostafa	Forward	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Xavier Cork	Forward	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Chuck O'Bannon Jr.	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Day Day Thomas	G	32	9-17	1-2	2-2	4	6	3	0	21
John Newman III	Forward	32	8-12	2-3	2-5	7	1	2	0	20
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	30	5-11	1-3	2-6	6	2	2	2	13
Viktor Lakhin	Center	34	5-6	1-2	0-0	5	3	1	2	11
Simas Lukosius	Guard	30	2-6	1-3	2-2	0	1	0	0	7
Aziz Bandaogo	Forward	27	2-2	0-0	2-4	6	0	0	2	6
Josh Reed	F	17	1-3	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Jizzle James	G	13	0-3	0-1	1-2	1	4	0	0	1
Jamille Reynolds	Forward	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Ody Oguama	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.9Possessions77.9

98.8Offensive Efficiency104.0

104.0Defensive Efficiency98.8

-5.1Net Efficiency5.1

49.3%Effective FG%57.4%

49.5%True Shooting %57.1%

24.1%Turnover Rate19.5%

16.7%Free Throw Rate34.4%

34.7%3-Point Rate26.2%

1.05Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Cincinnati won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 77.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.