Iowa State

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

69.6%Iowa State

30.4%BYU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa State -4.6

PROJECTED TOTAL155.8

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -229

BYU

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIowa State 80

Projected Total155.8

Projected ScoreBYU 76

Team Comparison

Iowa StateMetricBYU

75.9MMH Power Index63.9

119.3Offensive Efficiency118.3

96.0Defensive Efficiency106.8

23.3Net Efficiency11.5

4.9Strength of Schedule6.5

17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.2

68.4Tempo70.6

56.1%Effective FG%54.7%

15.0%Turnover Rate15.2%

35.5%Offensive Rebound %33.7%

35.2%Free Throw Rate35.4%

15.9Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–63.9), offensive efficiency (119.3–118.3), defensive efficiency (96.0–106.8), net efficiency (23.3–11.5).

BYU COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.5–4.9), free throw rate (35.4–35.2).

Final

Iowa State

72—87

BYU

BYU by 15 • 68.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Iowa StateTEAM STATBYU

26-59FG27-57

44.1%FG%47.4%

4-143PT13-35

28.6%3PT%37.1%

16-25FT20-24

64.0%FT%83.3%

34Rebounds36

14Offensive Rebounds12

13Assists21

13Turnovers11

4Steals7

3Blocks3

17Fouls19

Player Box Score

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keshon Gilbert	Guard	30	6-15	0-3	4-4	4	1	0	1	16
Milan Momcilovic	F	34	3-10	1-6	4-5	3	1	0	0	11
Tamin Lipsey	G	29	4-12	1-2	0-0	4	5	3	1	9
Tre King	Forward	18	2-3	0-0	3-3	5	1	0	0	7
Jackson Paveletzke	G	15	3-3	0-0	1-1	0	1	0	0	7
Hason Ward	Forward	14	3-5	0-0	1-2	6	0	1	0	7
Curtis Jones	Guard	24	1-4	1-2	0-0	2	3	0	0	3
Demarion Watson	G	12	1-2	1-1	0-2	2	0	0	1	3
Omaha Biliew	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cade Kelderman	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

BYU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Spencer Johnson	Guard	35	10-16	4-9	4-5	9	5	1	0	28
Noah Waterman	Forward	34	4-12	3-8	7-8	4	3	0	1	18
Jaxson Robinson	Guard	31	4-10	3-8	4-4	2	1	1	0	15
Richie Saunders	G	25	4-9	0-3	4-5	2	0	2	0	12
Dallin Hall	G	36	4-4	3-3	0-0	5	8	2	0	11
Aly Khalifa	C	28	1-4	0-3	0-0	9	4	0	1	2
Atiki Ally Atiki	Forward	8	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	1	1
Townsend Tripple	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jared McGregor	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tanner Hayhurst	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.7Possessions68.7

104.8Offensive Efficiency126.6

126.6Defensive Efficiency104.8

-21.8Net Efficiency21.8

47.5%Effective FG%58.8%

50.8%True Shooting %63.6%

18.6%Turnover Rate16.3%

42.4%Free Throw Rate42.1%

23.7%3-Point Rate61.4%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.91

Game Summary

BYU won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 68.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.