Saint Louis

29-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.2%Saint Louis

43.8%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Louis -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL152.6

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Louis -128

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Louis 78

Projected Total152.6

Projected ScoreDayton 75

Team Comparison

Saint LouisMetricDayton

66.7MMH Power Index59.9

120.8Offensive Efficiency108.5

97.6Defensive Efficiency101.5

23.2Net Efficiency7.0

0.3Strength of Schedule5.7

0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

72.2Tempo68.3

59.9%Effective FG%52.0%

17.1%Turnover Rate16.9%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

33.9%Free Throw Rate47.6%

16.8Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Louis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Louis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–59.9), offensive efficiency (120.8–108.5), defensive efficiency (97.6–101.5), net efficiency (23.2–7.0).

Dayton COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.7–0.3), recent form (6.4–0.1), ball security (16.9–17.1).

Final

Saint Louis

65—70

Dayton

Dayton by 5 • 65.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint LouisTEAM STATDayton

27-66FG23-54

40.9%FG%42.6%

8-233PT8-28

34.8%3PT%28.6%

3-7FT16-29

42.9%FT%55.2%

39Rebounds41

13Offensive Rebounds12

15Assists12

10Turnovers8

5Steals6

2Blocks6

19Fouls11

Player Box Score

Saint Louis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gibson Jimerson	Guard	37	5-16	3-9	0-0	4	2	2	0	13
Terrence Hargrove Jr.	Forward	29	5-10	2-4	0-0	5	0	0	0	12
Bradley Ezewiro	Forward	23	5-11	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	0	10
Sincere Parker	G	16	4-11	1-2	0-1	5	0	1	1	9
Tim Dalger	Forward	16	2-4	0-2	3-6	4	2	1	0	7
Kellen Thames	G	16	3-4	1-2	0-0	5	0	0	0	7
Michael Meadows Jr.	Guard	28	2-5	1-2	0-0	1	8	0	0	5
Bruce Zhang	Center	12	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Cian Medley	G	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	3	1	0	0
Larry Hughes II	G	11	0-2	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DaRon Holmes II	Center	33	9-13	1-3	10-17	14	1	2	4	29
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	32	3-7	2-5	1-2	9	2	1	1	9
Koby Brea	Guard	24	3-7	3-7	0-0	1	2	0	0	9
Kobe Elvis	Guard	33	2-7	1-2	3-4	0	3	1	0	8
Nate Santos	Forward	34	3-6	0-2	0-2	9	2	1	0	6
Javon Bennett	G	32	2-10	1-8	1-2	5	2	0	0	6
Isaac Jack	F	9	1-3	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	1	3
Zimi Nwokeji	Forward	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.1Possessions65.1

99.8Offensive Efficiency107.5

107.5Defensive Efficiency99.8

-7.7Net Efficiency7.7

47.0%Effective FG%50.0%

46.9%True Shooting %51.6%

15.1%Turnover Rate12.5%

10.6%Free Throw Rate53.7%

34.8%3-Point Rate51.9%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Dayton won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 65.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.