Louisville

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.6%Louisville

57.4%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -1.8

PROJECTED TOTAL157.0

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -135

North Carolina

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisville 78

Projected Total157.0

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 79

Team Comparison

LouisvilleMetricNorth Carolina

67.1MMH Power Index65.2

118.6Offensive Efficiency115.5

102.2Defensive Efficiency103.8

16.4Net Efficiency11.7

6.0Strength of Schedule7.6

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

71.0Tempo69.0

56.9%Effective FG%54.6%

16.8%Turnover Rate13.9%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

34.1%Free Throw Rate38.1%

11.7Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–65.2), offensive efficiency (118.6–115.5), defensive efficiency (102.2–103.8), net efficiency (16.4–11.7).

North Carolina COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.6–6.0), ball security (13.9–16.8), free throw rate (38.1–34.1).

Final

Louisville

70—86

North Carolina

North Carolina by 16 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LouisvilleTEAM STATNorth Carolina

28-57FG29-60

49.1%FG%48.3%

8-183PT10-22

44.4%3PT%45.5%

6-13FT18-24

46.2%FT%75.0%

28Rebounds40

6Offensive Rebounds12

10Assists19

13Turnovers10

4Steals7

1Blocks4

19Fouls13

Player Box Score

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Skyy Clark	G	33	6-12	4-5	0-1	3	4	1	0	16
Brandon Huntley-Hatfield	Forward	27	7-10	0-1	1-4	6	0	0	1	15
Tre White	G	31	5-8	1-4	1-2	1	0	0	0	12
Mike James	G	31	3-10	1-1	2-2	5	1	1	0	9
Curtis Williams Jr.	G	25	3-5	2-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	8
Ty-Laur Johnson	G	17	1-7	0-2	2-4	1	4	1	0	4
Kaleb Glenn	F	18	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Danilo Jovanovich	F	4	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Zan Payne	Guard	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Hercy Miller	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
RJ Davis	Guard	36	6-12	4-7	5-5	6	6	2	0	21
Armando Bacot	Forward	33	7-11	0-0	5-6	7	5	1	3	19
Jae'Lyn Withers	Forward	24	5-6	0-0	5-7	10	0	1	0	15
Cormac Ryan	Guard	28	5-10	4-7	0-0	2	0	0	0	14
Harrison Ingram	Forward	29	4-11	2-4	0-2	4	5	0	0	10
Elliot Cadeau	G	24	2-4	0-1	1-2	2	3	3	0	5
Paxson Wojcik	Guard	3	0-2	0-2	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Seth Trimble	G	17	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Jalen Washington	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Zayden High	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

100.3Offensive Efficiency123.2

123.2Defensive Efficiency100.3

-22.9Net Efficiency22.9

56.1%Effective FG%56.7%

55.4%True Shooting %60.2%

18.5%Turnover Rate14.4%

22.8%Free Throw Rate40.0%

31.6%3-Point Rate36.7%

0.77Assist / Turnover1.90

Game Summary

North Carolina won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.