Mississippi State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.5%Mississippi State

93.5%Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADKentucky -18.0

PROJECTED TOTAL160.9

MODEL MONEYLINEKentucky -1438

Kentucky

22-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMississippi State 71

Projected Total160.9

Projected ScoreKentucky 89

Team Comparison

Mississippi StateMetricKentucky

44.6MMH Power Index63.9

107.4Offensive Efficiency115.2

113.2Defensive Efficiency106.3

-5.8Net Efficiency8.9

5.0Strength of Schedule8.7

-17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

72.3Tempo69.9

51.6%Effective FG%53.2%

16.1%Turnover Rate15.4%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

30.9%Free Throw Rate38.0%

-4.2Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMKentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.9–44.6), offensive efficiency (115.2–107.4), defensive efficiency (106.3–113.2), net efficiency (8.9–-5.8).

Final

Mississippi State

77—90

Kentucky

Kentucky by 13 • 69.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mississippi StateTEAM STATKentucky

31-69FG30-54

44.9%FG%55.6%

9-273PT7-23

33.3%3PT%30.4%

6-10FT23-27

60.0%FT%85.2%

33Rebounds33

14Offensive Rebounds7

22Assists20

9Turnovers10

9Steals5

1Blocks7

18Fouls9

Player Box Score

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tolu Smith	Forward	27	11-15	0-0	4-8	8	3	1	0	26
Trey Fort	G	18	5-10	3-7	0-0	5	1	0	0	13
Cameron Matthews	Forward	31	3-8	0-0	2-2	8	6	1	1	8
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	23	2-5	2-4	0-0	2	3	1	0	6
Jimmy Bell Jr.	Forward	12	3-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
D.J. Jeffries	Forward	24	2-6	1-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	5
Shakeel Moore	Guard	23	2-6	1-3	0-0	2	5	2	0	5
Dashawn Davis	Guard	20	2-4	1-2	0-0	1	1	2	0	5
Josh Hubbard	G	19	1-11	1-9	0-0	1	3	0	0	3
Jaquan Scott	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Antonio Reeves	Guard	31	8-12	2-5	9-9	4	3	0	0	27
Rob Dillingham	Guard	27	5-12	1-5	5-7	4	4	0	0	16
Tre Mitchell	Center	28	5-5	1-1	4-4	3	3	0	1	15
Aaron Bradshaw	F	25	5-8	0-2	1-2	6	0	2	2	11
Reed Sheppard	Guard	30	2-5	2-5	3-3	2	6	2	0	9
DJ Wagner	G	26	3-8	1-4	0-0	3	2	1	0	7
Ugonna Onyenso	C	17	1-1	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	4	3
Justin Edwards	Forward	16	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

69.3Possessions69.3

111.1Offensive Efficiency129.9

129.9Defensive Efficiency111.1

-18.8Net Efficiency18.8

51.4%Effective FG%62.0%

52.2%True Shooting %67.3%

13.1%Turnover Rate14.3%

14.5%Free Throw Rate50.0%

39.1%3-Point Rate42.6%

2.44Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Kentucky won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 69.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.