Virginia

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.0%Virginia

66.0%St. John's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. John's -5.2

PROJECTED TOTAL151.8

MODEL MONEYLINESt. John's -194

St. John's

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVirginia 73

Projected Total151.8

Projected ScoreSt. John's 78

Team Comparison

VirginiaMetricSt. John's

68.9MMH Power Index70.3

119.0Offensive Efficiency114.4

101.8Defensive Efficiency97.6

17.2Net Efficiency16.8

5.2Strength of Schedule5.5

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency11.4

67.6Tempo70.9

55.0%Effective FG%51.3%

16.0%Turnover Rate14.3%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

33.2%Free Throw Rate41.1%

11.6Average Margin11.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. John's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. John's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.3–68.9), defensive efficiency (97.6–101.8), strength of schedule (5.5–5.2), recent form (11.4–6.4).

Virginia COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (119.0–114.4), net efficiency (17.2–16.8), shooting efficiency (55.0–51.3).

Final

Virginia

55—80

St. John's

St. John's by 25 • 62.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VirginiaTEAM STATSt. John's

18-45FG32-61

40.0%FG%52.0%

9-283PT10-24

32.0%3PT%42.0%

10-18FT6-10

56.0%FT%60.0%

26Rebounds34

6Offensive Rebounds11

12Assists19

16Turnovers7

4Steals13

1Blocks3

9Fouls14

Player Box Score

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Saunders	F	25	4-7	1-3	3-4	3	0	0	0	12
Andrew Rohde	G	22	3-4	2-2	3-3	2	1	0	0	11
Isaac McKneely	G	29	3-9	3-9	1-1	4	3	1	0	10
Blake Buchanan	F	25	2-3	0-0	2-4	5	2	2	1	6
Taine Murray	Guard	13	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Dai Dai Ames	G	32	1-6	1-3	0-0	2	3	1	0	3
TJ Power	F	19	1-5	1-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Jacob Cofie	F	21	1-5	0-3	0-0	7	1	0	0	2
Ishan Sharma	F	6	1-4	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Anthony Robinson	F	8	0-0	0-0	1-6	1	0	0	0	1

St. John's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
RJ Luis Jr.	Guard	29	7-14	2-4	2-2	3	2	4	1	18
Kadary Richmond	Guard	30	6-9	0-1	0-2	2	4	1	0	12
Deivon Smith	Guard	28	4-6	2-3	0-0	10	8	1	0	10
Zuby Ejiofor	F	26	3-6	0-0	2-2	9	0	2	2	8
Simeon Wilcher	G	16	3-4	1-2	0-0	1	3	2	0	7
Aaron Scott	Guard	24	2-9	2-7	0-0	2	2	2	0	6
Sadiku Ibine Ayo	F	13	2-2	2-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Jaiden Glover-Toscano	G	8	1-4	1-4	2-3	1	0	0	0	5
Vince Iwuchukwu	C	11	2-4	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	4
Ruben Prey	F	9	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Lefteris Liotopoulos	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.7Possessions62.7

87.7Offensive Efficiency127.6

127.6Defensive Efficiency87.7

-39.9Net Efficiency39.9

50.0%Effective FG%60.7%

51.4%True Shooting %60.8%

25.2%Turnover Rate11.3%

40.0%Free Throw Rate16.4%

62.2%3-Point Rate39.3%

0.75Assist / Turnover2.71

Game Summary

St. John's won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 62.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.