Ole Miss

15-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.5%Ole Miss

65.5%LSU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLSU -5.6

PROJECTED TOTAL159.4

MODEL MONEYLINELSU -190

LSU

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOle Miss 77

Projected Total159.4

Projected ScoreLSU 83

Team Comparison

Ole MissMetricLSU

53MMH Power Index54.2

109.2Offensive Efficiency115.5

109.5Defensive Efficiency111.3

-0.3Net Efficiency4.2

5.4Strength of Schedule4.5

-2.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-12.8

69.5Tempo70.5

50.6%Effective FG%53.4%

14.0%Turnover Rate15.6%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

33.8%Free Throw Rate41.9%

-0.2Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

LSU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLSU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–53.0), offensive efficiency (115.5–109.2), net efficiency (4.2–-0.3), shooting efficiency (53.4–50.6).

Ole Miss COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.5–111.3), strength of schedule (5.4–4.5), recent form (-2.3–-12.8).

Final

Ole Miss

80—89

LSU

LSU by 9 • 78.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ole MissTEAM STATLSU

24-65FG28-58

36.9%FG%48.3%

6-243PT10-21

25.0%3PT%47.6%

26-29FT23-31

89.7%FT%74.2%

35Rebounds42

10Offensive Rebounds10

7Assists13

10Turnovers15

8Steals10

5Blocks3

19Fouls21

Player Box Score

Ole Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylen Murray	Guard	32	9-14	4-7	1-2	3	2	3	0	23
Allen Flanigan	Guard	36	5-17	0-5	10-10	8	0	3	0	20
Matthew Murrell	Guard	37	7-16	1-6	4-5	2	1	1	0	19
Jaemyn Brakefield	Forward	31	1-8	1-4	10-10	9	3	1	1	13
Brandon Murray	Not Available	22	1-4	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
T.J. Caldwell	G	9	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Moussa Cisse	Center	20	0-3	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	3	1
Jamarion Sharp	Forward	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	1	0
Rashaud Marshall	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

LSU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Wright	Guard	35	9-16	2-4	7-8	7	5	7	0	27
Jalen Cook	Guard	30	4-12	1-6	7-7	4	1	0	0	16
Tyrell Ward	G	15	4-5	3-4	0-0	0	1	0	1	11
Mike Williams III	G	22	2-6	2-5	4-7	4	1	3	0	10
Will Baker	Forward	26	3-7	1-1	2-4	8	2	0	0	9
Jalen Reed	F	31	3-6	1-1	1-2	7	1	0	2	8
Hunter Dean	Forward	14	1-1	0-0	2-3	8	0	0	0	4
Trae Hannibal	Guard	18	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Derek Fountain	Forward	9	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

78.3Possessions78.3

102.2Offensive Efficiency113.7

113.7Defensive Efficiency102.2

-11.5Net Efficiency11.5

41.5%Effective FG%56.9%

50.8%True Shooting %61.2%

12.7%Turnover Rate19.3%

44.6%Free Throw Rate53.4%

36.9%3-Point Rate36.2%

0.70Assist / Turnover0.87

Game Summary

LSU won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 78.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.