Illinois

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.9%Illinois

73.1%Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan -8.0

PROJECTED TOTAL157.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan -272

Michigan

36-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois 75

Projected Total157.9

Projected ScoreMichigan 83

Team Comparison

IllinoisMetricMichigan

76.5MMH Power Index80.9

125.0Offensive Efficiency122.3

103.3Defensive Efficiency97.0

21.7Net Efficiency25.3

6.7Strength of Schedule8.7

12.7Last 10 Net Efficiency17.2

66.5Tempo71.8

54.8%Effective FG%58.8%

13.1%Turnover Rate16.4%

39.3%Offensive Rebound %34.6%

33.8%Free Throw Rate38.9%

14.5Average Margin18.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (80.9–76.5), defensive efficiency (97.0–103.3), net efficiency (25.3–21.7), strength of schedule (8.7–6.7).

Illinois COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (125.0–122.3), ball security (13.1–16.4), offensive rebounding (39.3–34.6).

Final

Illinois

88—73

Michigan

Illinois by 15 • 69.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IllinoisTEAM STATMichigan

30-62FG30-63

48.4%FG%47.6%

6-183PT3-13

33.3%3PT%23.1%

22-30FT10-12

73.3%FT%83.3%

39Rebounds29

13Offensive Rebounds8

12Assists10

6Turnovers9

9Steals1

4Blocks—

13Fouls18

Player Box Score

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Coleman Hawkins	Guard	36	6-10	3-5	6-6	10	4	6	1	21
Quincy Guerrier	Forward	37	6-12	1-4	3-6	14	0	0	0	16
Marcus Domask	Forward	37	5-14	0-4	5-7	3	3	1	1	15
Ty Rodgers	G	33	6-13	0-0	3-6	5	3	0	2	15
Justin Harmon	Guard	19	3-5	0-1	5-5	2	1	2	0	11
Luke Goode	Forward	29	3-5	2-4	0-0	4	0	0	0	8
Niccolo Moretti	G	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Dain Dainja	Forward	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	30	8-10	0-0	4-4	5	1	0	20
Olivier Nkamhoua	Forward	37	6-13	2-4	2-2	4	2	0	16
Dug McDaniel	G	35	7-18	0-4	0-1	2	6	1	14
Terrance Williams II	F	32	3-10	0-4	2-2	3	0	0	8
Jaelin Llewellyn	Guard	14	3-3	1-1	0-1	1	0	0	7
Nimari Burnett	G	18	1-5	0-0	2-2	4	1	0	4
Will Tschetter	F	13	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	4
Youssef Khayat	Forward	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0
Jace Howard	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.5Possessions69.5

126.6Offensive Efficiency105.0

105.0Defensive Efficiency126.6

21.6Net Efficiency-21.6

53.2%Effective FG%50.0%

57.7%True Shooting %53.1%

8.7%Turnover Rate12.9%

48.4%Free Throw Rate19.0%

29.0%3-Point Rate20.6%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.11

Game Summary

Illinois won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 69.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.