Pittsburgh

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.8%Pittsburgh

98.2%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -26.7

PROJECTED TOTAL144.2

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -5456

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePittsburgh 59

Projected Total144.2

Projected ScoreDuke 85

Team Comparison

PittsburghMetricDuke

50.5MMH Power Index81.7

108.4Offensive Efficiency122.2

110.4Defensive Efficiency95.2

-2.0Net Efficiency27.0

5.5Strength of Schedule7.8

-6.9Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

65.0Tempo66.8

51.4%Effective FG%56.9%

17.3%Turnover Rate15.9%

33.1%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

31.2%Free Throw Rate39.0%

-1.3Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY98.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–50.5), offensive efficiency (122.2–108.4), defensive efficiency (95.2–110.4), net efficiency (27.0–-2.0).

Final

Pittsburgh

80—76

Duke

Pittsburgh by 4 • 68.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PittsburghTEAM STATDuke

30-59FG22-49

50.8%FG%44.9%

10-203PT11-28

50.0%3PT%39.3%

10-16FT21-28

62.5%FT%75.0%

32Rebounds25

9Offensive Rebounds4

13Assists11

10Turnovers11

5Steals6

6Blocks3

20Fouls16

Player Box Score

Pittsburgh

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Blake Hinson	Forward	37	8-10	7-7	1-2	8	0	0	0	24
Jaland Lowe	G	29	6-16	2-5	3-4	0	6	2	0	17
Ishmael Leggett	Guard	27	5-10	0-1	1-3	4	2	3	0	11
Federiko Federiko	F	27	4-5	0-0	1-3	5	2	0	2	9
Bub Carrington	Guard	26	3-9	1-2	2-2	2	2	0	0	9
Zack Austin	Forward	37	2-6	0-4	2-2	5	1	0	3	6
Guillermo Diaz Graham	F	13	2-3	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	1	4
Will Jeffress	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jared McCain	Guard	38	7-14	3-8	3-4	1	1	1	0	20
Kyle Filipowski	Forward	36	5-10	3-6	6-7	5	2	1	1	19
Caleb Foster	G	35	4-9	3-5	5-6	6	5	3	0	16
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	37	3-10	2-7	3-5	5	1	0	0	11
Ryan Young	Center	26	2-3	0-0	2-2	4	2	0	2	6
Jaylen Blakes	Guard	13	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	1	0	2
TJ Power	F	4	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Sean Stewart	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4

117.0Offensive Efficiency111.1

111.1Defensive Efficiency117.0

5.8Net Efficiency-5.8

59.3%Effective FG%56.1%

60.1%True Shooting %61.0%

14.8%Turnover Rate15.9%

27.1%Free Throw Rate57.1%

33.9%3-Point Rate57.1%

1.30Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Pittsburgh won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.