Iowa State

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

78.5%Iowa State

21.5%TCU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa State -7.7

PROJECTED TOTAL150.0

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -365

TCU

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIowa State 79

Projected Total150.0

Projected ScoreTCU 71

Team Comparison

Iowa StateMetricTCU

75.9MMH Power Index59.7

119.3Offensive Efficiency110.2

96.0Defensive Efficiency102.7

23.3Net Efficiency7.5

4.9Strength of Schedule4.6

17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

68.4Tempo70.2

56.1%Effective FG%50.5%

15.0%Turnover Rate15.3%

35.5%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

35.2%Free Throw Rate38.3%

15.9Average Margin5.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–59.7), offensive efficiency (119.3–110.2), defensive efficiency (96.0–102.7), net efficiency (23.3–7.5).

TCU COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (38.3–35.2).

Final

Iowa State

73—72

TCU

Iowa State by 1 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Iowa StateTEAM STATTCU

29-62FG23-46

46.8%FG%50.0%

7-213PT6-18

33.3%3PT%33.3%

8-13FT20-26

61.5%FT%76.9%

24Rebounds40

12Offensive Rebounds15

18Assists13

13Turnovers27

18Steals5

4Blocks5

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keshon Gilbert	Guard	36	8-15	2-6	2-4	4	4	2	0	20
Curtis Jones	Guard	33	6-12	2-7	3-4	2	4	7	0	17
Milan Momcilovic	F	29	4-11	2-6	0-0	0	2	4	0	10
Tre King	Forward	27	3-6	0-0	1-1	5	1	3	0	7
Demarion Watson	G	25	2-6	0-0	2-2	6	1	1	1	6
Omaha Biliew	F	6	2-2	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	4
Jackson Paveletzke	G	10	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
Hason Ward	Forward	21	1-5	0-0	0-1	3	4	0	1	2

TCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trevian Tennyson	Guard	28	6-10	3-7	4-4	3	3	1	0	19
Micah Peavy	Not Available	31	4-9	0-2	3-4	9	2	0	0	11
Emanuel Miller	Forward	33	3-8	0-2	4-4	5	4	2	1	10
JaKobe Coles	Forward	20	4-6	1-3	0-1	1	1	0	1	9
Ernest Udeh Jr.	C	17	0-1	0-0	8-10	5	0	0	1	8
Avery Anderson III	Guard	26	3-5	1-3	0-0	5	2	0	2	7
Jameer Nelson Jr.	Guard	24	2-2	1-1	1-3	1	0	2	0	6
Chuck O'Bannon Jr.	Forward	9	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Essam Mostafa	Forward	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Xavier Cork	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

104.6Offensive Efficiency103.2

103.2Defensive Efficiency104.6

1.4Net Efficiency-1.4

52.4%Effective FG%56.5%

53.5%True Shooting %61.7%

18.8%Turnover Rate38.4%

21.0%Free Throw Rate56.5%

33.9%3-Point Rate39.1%

1.38Assist / Turnover0.48

Game Summary

Iowa State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.