Rutgers

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.9%Rutgers

98.1%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -26.7

PROJECTED TOTAL150.6

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -5163

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreRutgers 62

Projected Total150.6

Projected ScoreIllinois 89

Team Comparison

RutgersMetricIllinois

45.9MMH Power Index76.5

104.2Offensive Efficiency125.0

112.2Defensive Efficiency103.3

-8.0Net Efficiency21.7

3.9Strength of Schedule6.7

-1.6Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

67.4Tempo66.5

47.4%Effective FG%54.8%

15.0%Turnover Rate13.1%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

36.3%Free Throw Rate33.8%

-5.4Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY98.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–45.9), offensive efficiency (125.0–104.2), defensive efficiency (103.3–112.2), net efficiency (21.7–-8.0).

Rutgers COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (36.3–33.8).

Final

Rutgers

63—86

Illinois

Illinois by 23 • 77.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

RutgersTEAM STATIllinois

26-69FG32-63

37.7%FG%50.8%

3-143PT6-27

21.4%3PT%22.2%

8-11FT16-27

72.7%FT%59.3%

32Rebounds46

10Offensive Rebounds13

8Assists17

14Turnovers13

7Steals7

3Blocks3

19Fouls12

Player Box Score

Rutgers

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Clifford Omoruyi	Center	27	10-19	1-1	1-3	9	0	0	1	22
Aundre Hyatt	Forward	29	5-12	0-3	1-1	5	2	1	0	11
Noah Fernandes	Guard	18	4-7	1-2	1-1	1	1	0	0	10
Jamichael Davis	G	24	1-3	0-1	5-6	3	0	1	1	7
Derek Simpson	G	19	3-10	0-1	0-0	3	2	1	0	6
Oskar Palmquist	Forward	17	1-2	1-1	0-0	3	1	1	0	3
Mawot Mag	Forward	25	1-6	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Antwone Woolfolk	F	13	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	1	3	0	2
Austin Williams	Guard	17	0-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Gavin Griffiths	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Antonio Chol	F	3	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin Harmon	Guard	29	8-13	2-5	0-0	8	1	0	1	18
Terrence Shannon Jr.	Not Available	28	4-10	0-5	8-10	1	4	1	0	16
Quincy Guerrier	Forward	30	5-8	2-3	3-8	11	0	0	0	15
Marcus Domask	Forward	33	4-10	0-2	4-5	7	5	0	2	12
Coleman Hawkins	Guard	33	5-12	1-7	1-2	9	4	5	0	12
Ty Rodgers	G	14	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Dain Dainja	Forward	6	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Luke Goode	Forward	19	1-4	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	2	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Niccolo Moretti	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
AJ Redd	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	0
Max Williams	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.0Possessions77.0

81.8Offensive Efficiency111.7

111.7Defensive Efficiency81.8

-29.9Net Efficiency29.9

39.9%Effective FG%55.6%

42.4%True Shooting %56.7%

17.9%Turnover Rate17.1%

15.9%Free Throw Rate42.9%

20.3%3-Point Rate42.9%

0.57Assist / Turnover1.31

Game Summary

Illinois won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 77.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.