Wake Forest

18-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.5%Wake Forest

79.5%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -10.1

PROJECTED TOTAL156.5

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -388

North Carolina

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWake Forest 73

Projected Total156.5

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 83

Team Comparison

Wake ForestMetricNorth Carolina

57.6MMH Power Index65.2

112.4Offensive Efficiency115.5

109.7Defensive Efficiency103.8

2.7Net Efficiency11.7

7.2Strength of Schedule7.6

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

70.2Tempo69.0

52.8%Effective FG%54.6%

15.5%Turnover Rate13.9%

30.0%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

36.1%Free Throw Rate38.1%

1.9Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–57.6), offensive efficiency (115.5–112.4), defensive efficiency (103.8–109.7), net efficiency (11.7–2.7).

Wake Forest COUNTERS WITHrecent form (-0.1–-1.8).

Final

Wake Forest

64—85

North Carolina

North Carolina by 21 • 73.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Wake ForestTEAM STATNorth Carolina

21-59FG32-61

35.6%FG%52.5%

3-203PT5-15

15.0%3PT%33.3%

19-25FT16-22

76.0%FT%72.7%

30Rebounds43

4Offensive Rebounds6

3Assists8

6Turnovers8

3Steals2

3Blocks7

16Fouls20

Player Box Score

Wake Forest

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hunter Sallis	Guard	38	6-13	0-2	6-10	3	1	2	0	18
Andrew Carr	Forward	31	3-6	0-1	8-9	5	0	0	2	14
Cameron Hildreth	Guard	30	5-12	0-1	0-0	7	1	0	0	10
Efton Reid III	Forward	32	2-7	0-2	4-4	7	0	1	1	8
Damari Monsanto	Guard	15	2-7	2-7	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Boopie Miller	G	31	2-12	0-5	1-2	1	1	0	0	5
Parker Friedrichsen	G	15	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Zach Keller	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
RJ Davis	Guard	37	14-23	4-8	4-5	4	2	0	0	36
Elliot Cadeau	G	28	7-12	0-0	0-1	3	3	1	0	14
Cormac Ryan	Guard	29	3-8	1-2	4-4	3	1	0	2	11
Harrison Ingram	Forward	30	4-7	0-3	2-4	14	1	0	0	10
Armando Bacot	Forward	35	2-6	0-1	1-2	7	0	1	4	5
Jae'Lyn Withers	Forward	17	0-1	0-1	5-6	7	1	0	0	5
Jalen Washington	F	5	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	4
Seth Trimble	G	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Paxson Wojcik	Guard	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.2Possessions73.2

87.4Offensive Efficiency116.1

116.1Defensive Efficiency87.4

-28.7Net Efficiency28.7

38.1%Effective FG%56.6%

45.1%True Shooting %59.5%

8.2%Turnover Rate10.9%

42.4%Free Throw Rate36.1%

33.9%3-Point Rate24.6%

0.50Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

North Carolina won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 73.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.