Duke

35-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

75.4%Duke

24.6%Louisville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL153.2

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -307

Louisville

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDuke 79

Projected Total153.2

Projected ScoreLouisville 74

Team Comparison

DukeMetricLouisville

81.7MMH Power Index67.1

122.2Offensive Efficiency118.6

95.2Defensive Efficiency102.2

27.0Net Efficiency16.4

7.8Strength of Schedule6.0

18.7Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

66.8Tempo71.0

56.9%Effective FG%56.9%

15.9%Turnover Rate16.8%

38.2%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

39.0%Free Throw Rate34.1%

18.0Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–67.1), offensive efficiency (122.2–118.6), defensive efficiency (95.2–102.2), net efficiency (27.0–16.4).

Final

Duke

83—69

Louisville

Duke by 14 • 67.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DukeTEAM STATLouisville

29-63FG24-52

46.0%FG%46.2%

9-253PT5-17

36.0%3PT%29.4%

16-22FT16-24

72.7%FT%66.7%

43Rebounds28

15Offensive Rebounds7

15Assists9

9Turnovers10

6Steals4

3Blocks1

22Fouls19

Player Box Score

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	35	9-16	4-10	2-5	0	4	0	0	24
Mark Mitchell	G	34	8-11	0-0	4-5	12	1	1	0	20
Kyle Filipowski	Forward	36	6-16	1-6	4-6	15	5	1	1	17
Jared McCain	Guard	28	3-9	2-5	2-2	4	0	2	0	10
Jeremy Roach	Guard	17	3-7	2-4	2-2	1	3	2	0	10
Sean Stewart	F	15	0-1	0-0	2-2	6	0	0	2	2
Caleb Foster	G	26	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Jaylen Blakes	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ryan Young	Center	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Huntley-Hatfield	Forward	37	9-13	0-0	2-5	11	2	0	1	20
Mike James	G	38	3-10	1-5	6-8	4	1	1	0	13
Skyy Clark	G	33	5-10	2-4	1-3	5	4	1	0	13
Ty-Laur Johnson	G	22	2-4	0-0	6-6	0	0	1	0	10
Tre White	G	31	4-7	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	9
Curtis Williams Jr.	G	24	1-7	1-5	1-2	2	0	0	0	4
Kaleb Glenn	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Danilo Jovanovich	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Zan Payne	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.0Possessions67.0

123.9Offensive Efficiency103.0

103.0Defensive Efficiency123.9

20.9Net Efficiency-20.9

53.2%Effective FG%51.0%

56.5%True Shooting %54.4%

13.3%Turnover Rate15.1%

34.9%Free Throw Rate46.2%

39.7%3-Point Rate32.7%

1.67Assist / Turnover0.90

Game Summary

Duke won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 67.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.