Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.9%Colorado State

73.1%Nevada

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNevada -7.0

PROJECTED TOTAL148.7

MODEL MONEYLINENevada -272

Nevada

24-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 71

Projected Total148.7

Projected ScoreNevada 78

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricNevada

55.4MMH Power Index59.8

117.1Offensive Efficiency112.4

109.9Defensive Efficiency105.7

7.2Net Efficiency6.7

0.4Strength of Schedule3.7

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency7.8

64.7Tempo67.7

58.6%Effective FG%50.2%

18.3%Turnover Rate14.8%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %31.9%

41.2%Free Throw Rate46.0%

4.6Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Nevada HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNevada holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–55.4), defensive efficiency (105.7–109.9), strength of schedule (3.7–0.4), recent form (7.8–4.3).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (117.1–112.4), net efficiency (7.2–6.7), shooting efficiency (58.6–50.2).

Final

Colorado State

64—77

Nevada

Nevada by 13 • 63.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATNevada

24-61FG29-54

39.3%FG%53.7%

6-233PT4-10

26.1%3PT%40.0%

10-15FT15-18

66.7%FT%83.3%

32Rebounds34

14Offensive Rebounds8

18Assists19

9Turnovers9

5Steals4

2Blocks4

18Fouls13

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Lake	Guard	21	5-8	3-6	0-0	0	0	0	0	13
Josiah Strong	Guard	28	5-9	1-4	1-2	1	1	0	0	12
Joel Scott	Forward	26	4-8	0-0	2-2	5	1	0	2	10
Isaiah Stevens	Guard	37	4-16	0-4	0-0	3	10	0	0	8
Nique Clifford	Guard	35	3-8	1-4	0-1	9	2	3	0	7
Rashaan Mbemba	F	13	1-3	0-1	4-6	3	1	1	0	6
Joe Palmer	Guard	13	0-2	0-1	3-4	3	1	0	0	3
Javonte Johnson	Guard	7	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Patrick Cartier	Forward	15	1-5	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Kyan Evans	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tavi Jackson	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Nevada

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jarod Lucas	Guard	35	10-14	3-3	5-5	3	2	1	0	28
Nick Davidson	F	21	3-4	0-1	4-4	7	1	0	1	10
Tylan Pope	Forward	12	3-6	0-0	1-1	3	0	0	2	7
K.J. Hymes	Forward	23	2-4	0-0	2-4	4	0	0	1	6
Tre Coleman	Forward	35	2-10	1-3	0-0	5	7	0	0	5
Hunter McIntosh	Guard	17	0-2	0-2	1-2	1	3	1	0	1
Daniel Foster	Guard	26	0-2	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.4Possessions63.4

100.9Offensive Efficiency121.5

121.5Defensive Efficiency100.9

-20.5Net Efficiency20.5

44.3%Effective FG%57.4%

47.0%True Shooting %61.6%

14.3%Turnover Rate14.2%

24.6%Free Throw Rate33.3%

37.7%3-Point Rate18.5%

2.00Assist / Turnover2.11

Game Summary

Nevada won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 63.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.