Arizona

36-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

95.2%Arizona

4.8%Oregon State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArizona -19.4

PROJECTED TOTAL152.5

MODEL MONEYLINEArizona -1983

Oregon State

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArizona 86

Projected Total152.5

Projected ScoreOregon State 67

Team Comparison

ArizonaMetricOregon State

79.9MMH Power Index48.5

120.3Offensive Efficiency105.8

96.9Defensive Efficiency110.3

23.4Net Efficiency-4.5

8.0Strength of Schedule4.5

17.0Last 10 Net Efficiency0.0

71.6Tempo67.2

55.0%Effective FG%50.6%

15.1%Turnover Rate17.7%

37.8%Offensive Rebound %26.4%

45.3%Free Throw Rate43.9%

16.8Average Margin-3.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arizona HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArizona holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (79.9–48.5), offensive efficiency (120.3–105.8), defensive efficiency (96.9–110.3), net efficiency (23.4–-4.5).

Final

Arizona

80—83

Oregon State

Oregon State by 3 • 67.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ArizonaTEAM STATOregon State

28-53FG27-48

52.8%FG%56.3%

3-143PT12-20

21.4%3PT%60.0%

21-31FT17-24

67.7%FT%70.8%

31Rebounds26

11Offensive Rebounds6

16Assists15

12Turnovers13

7Steals7

2Blocks4

20Fouls22

Player Box Score

Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Love	Guard	35	6-12	2-7	9-10	4	3	0	0	23
Keshad Johnson	Forward	29	7-11	0-1	4-5	6	2	2	1	18
Pelle Larsson	Guard	31	7-11	1-3	2-3	5	4	2	0	17
Motiejus Krivas	C	16	4-7	0-0	2-3	4	0	0	0	10
Oumar Ballo	Center	21	2-4	0-0	3-8	6	0	1	0	7
Jaden Bradley	G	21	2-3	0-1	1-2	1	2	2	0	5
Kylan Boswell	G	24	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
KJ Lewis	G	23	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	3	0	1	0

Oregon State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Pope	G	36	9-15	5-8	8-10	0	5	1	0	31
Tyler Bilodeau	F	35	8-10	3-4	3-4	7	3	0	2	22
Michael Rataj	G	33	4-8	2-3	2-3	7	2	1	2	12
Dexter Akanno	Guard	34	2-6	0-1	4-6	4	0	2	0	8
KC Ibekwe	C	11	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	4
Christian Wright	Guard	20	1-4	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Thomas Ndong	F	14	1-3	1-1	0-1	1	2	0	0	3
Josiah Lake II	G	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	2	0	0
Chol Marial	Center	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.6Possessions67.6

118.3Offensive Efficiency122.8

122.8Defensive Efficiency118.3

-4.4Net Efficiency4.4

55.7%Effective FG%68.8%

59.1%True Shooting %69.9%

17.5%Turnover Rate19.6%

58.5%Free Throw Rate50.0%

26.4%3-Point Rate41.7%

1.33Assist / Turnover1.15

Game Summary

Oregon State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 67.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.