Michigan State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.0%Michigan State

48.0%Wisconsin

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -0.0

PROJECTED TOTAL155.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -108

Wisconsin

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan State 78

Projected Total155.7

Projected ScoreWisconsin 78

Team Comparison

Michigan StateMetricWisconsin

69.8MMH Power Index64.5

117.0Offensive Efficiency118.6

101.5Defensive Efficiency108.8

15.5Net Efficiency9.8

7.2Strength of Schedule6.7

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency5.6

67.3Tempo69.9

54.1%Effective FG%54.6%

17.2%Turnover Rate12.8%

37.7%Offensive Rebound %28.7%

36.6%Free Throw Rate32.5%

10.5Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–64.5), defensive efficiency (101.5–108.8), net efficiency (15.5–9.8), strength of schedule (7.2–6.7).

Wisconsin COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.6–117.0), shooting efficiency (54.6–54.1), ball security (12.8–17.2).

Final

Michigan State

66—81

Wisconsin

Wisconsin by 15 • 62.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Michigan StateTEAM STATWisconsin

25-60FG29-57

41.7%FG%50.9%

6-143PT9-25

42.9%3PT%36.0%

10-12FT14-19

83.3%FT%73.7%

25Rebounds35

8Offensive Rebounds12

12Assists11

8Turnovers6

3Steals4

1Blocks1

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Hoggard	Guard	30	6-10	2-2	5-6	1	4	0	0	19
Malik Hall	Forward	24	5-11	1-2	2-2	2	2	0	0	13
Tyson Walker	Guard	33	4-14	1-2	2-2	2	5	2	0	11
Jaden Akins	Guard	29	4-10	1-4	1-2	4	1	1	0	10
Jaxon Kohler	F	14	3-6	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Xavier Booker	C	6	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Mady Sissoko	Center	22	1-2	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	1	2
Tre Holloman	G	17	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Carson Cooper	C	13	0-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Coen Carr	F	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Wisconsin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Storr	G	33	9-17	3-8	7-8	2	0	0	0	28
Steve Crowl	Forward	30	6-9	1-2	2-2	7	3	0	1	15
Connor Essegian	G	6	3-4	2-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	8
Max Klesmit	Guard	32	2-6	0-4	2-3	4	2	0	0	6
Tyler Wahl	Forward	29	3-7	0-1	0-1	6	0	1	0	6
Nolan Winter	F	9	2-2	2-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
John Blackwell	G	12	2-4	0-1	1-1	2	2	0	0	5
Chucky Hepburn	Guard	32	1-6	1-4	1-2	3	2	3	0	4
Carter Gilmore	Forward	10	1-2	0-0	1-2	3	2	0	0	3
Isaac Lindsey	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Markus Ilver	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Chris Hodges	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaac Gard	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Luke Haertle	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.9Possessions62.9

104.9Offensive Efficiency128.8

128.8Defensive Efficiency104.9

-23.8Net Efficiency23.8

46.7%Effective FG%58.8%

50.2%True Shooting %61.3%

12.2%Turnover Rate10.0%

20.0%Free Throw Rate33.3%

23.3%3-Point Rate43.9%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.83

Game Summary

Wisconsin won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 62.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.