North Carolina

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.4%North Carolina

44.6%Florida State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL158.0

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -124

Florida State

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 80

Projected Total158.0

Projected ScoreFlorida State 78

Team Comparison

North CarolinaMetricFlorida State

65.2MMH Power Index58.7

115.5Offensive Efficiency111.9

103.8Defensive Efficiency108.5

11.7Net Efficiency3.4

7.6Strength of Schedule5.7

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency7.6

69.0Tempo71.8

54.6%Effective FG%52.4%

13.9%Turnover Rate15.2%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

38.1%Free Throw Rate35.2%

8.1Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–58.7), offensive efficiency (115.5–111.9), defensive efficiency (103.8–108.5), net efficiency (11.7–3.4).

Florida State COUNTERS WITHrecent form (7.6–-1.8).

Final

North Carolina

75—68

Florida State

North Carolina by 7 • 70.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North CarolinaTEAM STATFlorida State

24-58FG27-62

41.4%FG%43.5%

8-213PT9-20

38.1%3PT%45.0%

19-24FT5-11

79.2%FT%45.5%

41Rebounds32

16Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists10

17Turnovers14

5Steals11

2Blocks4

16Fouls22

Player Box Score

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
RJ Davis	Guard	35	9-18	2-8	4-5	3	1	1	0	24
Elliot Cadeau	G	28	4-12	0-1	8-9	2	6	0	0	16
Harrison Ingram	Forward	33	4-8	3-4	2-2	17	1	3	1	13
Cormac Ryan	Guard	31	3-9	3-8	1-2	5	0	0	0	10
Armando Bacot	Forward	34	2-4	0-0	1-2	4	2	1	1	5
Seth Trimble	G	16	0-3	0-0	3-4	2	1	0	0	3
Jalen Washington	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Paxson Wojcik	Guard	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Jae'Lyn Withers	Forward	10	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Zayden High	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Primo Spears	Guard	31	6-15	3-4	0-0	4	3	1	0	15
Darin Green Jr.	Guard	32	5-10	2-5	0-1	4	1	1	0	12
Jamir Watkins	Guard	29	3-12	2-4	4-5	3	2	3	1	12
Chandler Jackson	G	10	4-5	1-2	1-2	1	0	1	0	10
Jalen Warley	G	15	2-4	0-0	0-1	0	2	0	0	4
Cameron Corhen	F	14	2-3	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	0	4
Taylor Bol Bowen	F	13	2-4	0-2	0-0	3	0	2	0	4
Baba Miller	F	23	1-4	1-2	0-2	6	1	0	2	3
De'Ante Green	F	17	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	2	0	2
Jaylan Gainey	Forward	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Josh Nickelberry	Guard	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.3Possessions70.3

106.7Offensive Efficiency96.7

96.7Defensive Efficiency106.7

10.0Net Efficiency-10.0

48.3%Effective FG%50.8%

54.0%True Shooting %50.6%

24.1%Turnover Rate19.9%

41.4%Free Throw Rate17.7%

36.2%3-Point Rate32.3%

0.65Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

North Carolina won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 70.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.