Kentucky

22-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.8%Kentucky

75.2%Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -7.8

PROJECTED TOTAL168.1

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -303

Arkansas

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreKentucky 80

Projected Total168.1

Projected ScoreArkansas 88

Team Comparison

KentuckyMetricArkansas

63.9MMH Power Index69.3

115.2Offensive Efficiency122.2

106.3Defensive Efficiency109.8

8.9Net Efficiency12.4

8.7Strength of Schedule8.6

-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

69.9Tempo73.8

53.2%Effective FG%56.4%

15.4%Turnover Rate12.2%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

38.0%Free Throw Rate36.5%

6.2Average Margin9.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–63.9), offensive efficiency (122.2–115.2), net efficiency (12.4–8.9), recent form (3.4–-1.0).

Kentucky COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.3–109.8), strength of schedule (8.7–8.6), offensive rebounding (33.2–31.8).

Final

Kentucky

63—57

Arkansas

Kentucky by 6 • 70.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

KentuckyTEAM STATArkansas

23-63FG20-60

36.5%FG%33.3%

9-203PT4-19

45.0%3PT%21.1%

8-12FT13-18

66.7%FT%72.2%

39Rebounds44

8Offensive Rebounds11

13Assists9

9Turnovers13

8Steals5

6Blocks9

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Antonio Reeves	Guard	37	9-20	4-8	2-3	4	1	2	0	24
Reed Sheppard	Guard	35	5-12	2-3	2-3	4	5	4	1	14
Tre Mitchell	Center	33	3-10	3-6	1-2	11	2	2	1	10
DJ Wagner	G	35	3-10	0-2	2-2	1	3	0	0	8
Ugonna Onyenso	C	25	3-4	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	3	6
Adou Thiero	Forward	12	0-5	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	1	1
Aaron Bradshaw	F	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Justin Edwards	Forward	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Zvonimir Ivisic	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Makhi Mitchell	Forward	32	2-5	0-0	8-10	13	1	1	4	12
Tramon Mark	G	38	5-17	0-4	1-2	8	3	2	0	11
Khalif Battle	Guard	34	3-10	2-6	3-4	5	2	1	1	11
Jalen Graham	Forward	18	4-7	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	8
El Ellis	Guard	32	3-10	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	1	7
Chandler Lawson	Forward	25	2-5	1-2	0-0	7	2	0	2	5
Layden Blocker	G	6	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jeremiah Davenport	Guard	13	0-2	0-2	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Joseph Pinion	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.2Possessions70.2

89.7Offensive Efficiency81.2

81.2Defensive Efficiency89.7

8.5Net Efficiency-8.5

43.7%Effective FG%36.7%

45.9%True Shooting %41.6%

12.9%Turnover Rate18.4%

19.0%Free Throw Rate30.0%

31.7%3-Point Rate31.7%

1.44Assist / Turnover0.69

Game Summary

Kentucky won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 70.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.