Auburn

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

84.5%Auburn

15.5%Mississippi State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAuburn -9.1

PROJECTED TOTAL165.4

MODEL MONEYLINEAuburn -545

Mississippi State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAuburn 87

Projected Total165.4

Projected ScoreMississippi State 78

Team Comparison

AuburnMetricMississippi State

64.4MMH Power Index44.6

118.8Offensive Efficiency107.4

113.0Defensive Efficiency113.2

5.8Net Efficiency-5.8

7.5Strength of Schedule5.0

8.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.5

69.8Tempo72.3

53.1%Effective FG%51.6%

14.5%Turnover Rate16.1%

36.5%Offensive Rebound %29.8%

43.8%Free Throw Rate30.9%

4.1Average Margin-4.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Auburn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAuburn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.4–44.6), offensive efficiency (118.8–107.4), defensive efficiency (113.0–113.2), net efficiency (5.8–-5.8).

Final

Auburn

58—64

Mississippi State

Mississippi State by 6 • 67.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AuburnTEAM STATMississippi State

19-56FG25-57

33.9%FG%43.9%

6-243PT5-21

25.0%3PT%23.8%

14-16FT9-18

87.5%FT%50.0%

30Rebounds45

6Offensive Rebounds14

12Assists11

11Turnovers14

8Steals5

6Blocks3

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Johni Broome	Forward	34	5-7	1-1	3-3	7	2	1	3	14
Jaylin Williams	Forward	26	3-11	0-4	4-4	5	3	1	0	10
Denver Jones	Guard	20	2-6	2-3	2-2	0	2	0	0	8
Chaney Johnson	Forward	14	3-4	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	1	8
Aden Holloway	G	19	2-8	2-7	1-2	2	1	0	0	7
Tre Donaldson	G	22	2-5	0-1	2-3	3	2	2	0	6
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	23	1-6	1-3	0-0	6	1	1	0	3
K.D. Johnson	Guard	22	1-6	0-2	0-0	1	1	3	0	2
Chris Moore	Forward	11	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Dylan Cardwell	Center	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Lior Berman	Guard	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Hubbard	G	29	7-16	3-9	0-0	2	0	0	0	17
Cameron Matthews	Forward	34	6-9	0-0	2-6	11	2	1	2	14
Shakeel Moore	Guard	29	4-9	1-4	3-4	2	2	0	0	12
Tolu Smith	Forward	34	4-7	0-0	1-2	8	3	3	1	9
D.J. Jeffries	Forward	30	1-5	0-3	3-4	12	2	1	0	5
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	16	2-7	1-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Dashawn Davis	Guard	18	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Jimmy Bell Jr.	Forward	6	0-1	0-0	0-2	3	0	0	0	0
Trey Fort	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.1Possessions67.1

86.4Offensive Efficiency95.4

95.4Defensive Efficiency86.4

-8.9Net Efficiency8.9

39.3%Effective FG%48.2%

45.6%True Shooting %48.8%

16.0%Turnover Rate21.4%

28.6%Free Throw Rate31.6%

42.9%3-Point Rate36.8%

1.09Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

Mississippi State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 67.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.