Indiana

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.3%Indiana

92.7%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -16.6

PROJECTED TOTAL153.4

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -1270

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana 68

Projected Total153.4

Projected ScoreIllinois 85

Team Comparison

IndianaMetricIllinois

58.2MMH Power Index76.5

116.0Offensive Efficiency125.0

107.1Defensive Efficiency103.3

8.9Net Efficiency21.7

5.2Strength of Schedule6.7

-7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

67.4Tempo66.5

56.0%Effective FG%54.8%

15.1%Turnover Rate13.1%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

35.8%Free Throw Rate33.8%

6.0Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–58.2), offensive efficiency (125.0–116.0), defensive efficiency (103.3–107.1), net efficiency (21.7–8.9).

Indiana COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (56.0–54.8), free throw rate (35.8–33.8).

Final

Indiana

62—70

Illinois

Illinois by 8 • 68.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IndianaTEAM STATIllinois

25-54FG23-62

46.3%FG%37.1%

null-93PT7-23

0.0%3PT%30.4%

12-22FT17-26

54.5%FT%65.4%

35Rebounds42

7Offensive Rebounds14

8Assists8

9Turnovers9

3Steals6

2Blocks4

22Fouls18

Player Box Score

Indiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Reneau	F	34	8-12	0-0	5-9	7	1	0	0	21
Xavier Johnson	Guard	34	6-11	0-2	2-7	4	2	0	0	14
Mackenzie Mgbako	F	37	4-14	0-3	4-4	12	0	0	1	12
Trey Galloway	Guard	36	4-10	0-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	8
Anthony Walker	Forward	31	2-5	0-0	1-2	6	2	1	0	5
Anthony Leal	Guard	16	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	2
Gabe Cupps	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Payton Sparks	Center	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Domask	Forward	39	6-13	1-3	3-3	10	4	1	0	16
Terrence Shannon Jr.	Not Available	25	2-10	0-4	8-10	6	0	0	0	12
Coleman Hawkins	Guard	35	4-12	1-3	2-3	7	0	2	2	11
Luke Goode	Forward	30	4-9	3-8	0-1	3	0	0	0	11
Ty Rodgers	G	16	3-5	0-0	2-3	5	2	1	2	8
Justin Harmon	Guard	29	2-9	1-4	0-0	4	1	0	0	5
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	3	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Quincy Guerrier	Forward	16	0-0	0-0	2-6	4	1	1	0	2
Dain Dainja	Forward	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Niccolo Moretti	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.0Possessions68.0

91.2Offensive Efficiency102.9

102.9Defensive Efficiency91.2

-11.8Net Efficiency11.8

46.3%Effective FG%42.7%

48.1%True Shooting %47.1%

13.5%Turnover Rate13.0%

40.7%Free Throw Rate41.9%

16.7%3-Point Rate37.1%

0.89Assist / Turnover0.89

Game Summary

Illinois won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 68.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.