TCU

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.7%TCU

60.3%Baylor

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBaylor -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL156.5

MODEL MONEYLINEBaylor -152

Baylor

16-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTCU 77

Projected Total156.5

Projected ScoreBaylor 80

Team Comparison

TCUMetricBaylor

59.7MMH Power Index58.9

110.2Offensive Efficiency116.7

102.7Defensive Efficiency109.5

7.5Net Efficiency7.2

4.6Strength of Schedule4.0

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.2

70.2Tempo69.7

50.5%Effective FG%54.4%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.4%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %37.5%

38.3%Free Throw Rate34.8%

5.3Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

TCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.7–58.9), defensive efficiency (102.7–109.5), net efficiency (7.5–7.2), strength of schedule (4.6–4.0).

Baylor COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (116.7–110.2), shooting efficiency (54.4–50.5), offensive rebounding (37.5–33.6).

Final

TCU

105—102

Baylor

TCU by 3 • 89.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TCUTEAM STATBaylor

40-76FG35-73

53.0%FG%48.0%

8-203PT5-22

40.0%3PT%23.0%

17-24FT27-38

71.0%FT%71.0%

37Rebounds44

12Offensive Rebounds17

16Assists21

13Turnovers17

12Steals5

3Blocks2

24Fouls18

Player Box Score

TCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jameer Nelson Jr.	Guard	42	11-18	1-3	7-8	1	2	4	0	30
Emanuel Miller	Forward	53	8-16	0-0	5-8	5	2	0	0	21
Micah Peavy	Not Available	37	7-14	0-2	4-6	5	1	2	0	18
Trevian Tennyson	Guard	32	5-9	4-7	1-2	2	3	4	0	15
Chuck O'Bannon Jr.	Forward	23	4-6	3-4	0-0	3	0	1	0	11
Avery Anderson III	Guard	25	3-6	0-1	0-0	4	5	0	0	6
Ernest Udeh Jr.	C	28	1-2	0-0	0-0	7	0	1	2	2
JaKobe Coles	Forward	20	1-5	0-3	0-0	4	3	0	0	2
Xavier Cork	Forward	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Essam Mostafa	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Yves Missi	Center	42	10-14	0-0	5-7	9	0	1	1	25
RayJ Dennis	Guard	50	9-17	1-4	5-7	4	10	1	0	24
Ja'Kobe Walter	Guard	40	2-12	2-9	9-10	7	5	1	0	15
Langston Love	G	41	4-8	0-0	3-4	10	1	1	0	11
Jalen Bridges	Forward	43	4-10	1-4	0-2	5	4	0	0	9
Jayden Nunn	Guard	32	2-5	1-3	2-5	0	1	1	1	7
Caleb Lohner	Forward	10	2-2	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	6
Josh Ojianwuna	F	13	2-3	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	5
Miro Little	G	4	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

89.8Possessions89.8

116.9Offensive Efficiency113.6

113.6Defensive Efficiency116.9

3.3Net Efficiency-3.3

57.9%Effective FG%51.4%

60.1%True Shooting %56.0%

14.7%Turnover Rate18.7%

31.6%Free Throw Rate52.1%

26.3%3-Point Rate30.1%

1.23Assist / Turnover1.24

Game Summary

TCU won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 89.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.