Duke

35-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

89.7%Duke

10.3%Virginia Tech

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -13.1

PROJECTED TOTAL151.2

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -871

Virginia Tech

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDuke 82

Projected Total151.2

Projected ScoreVirginia Tech 69

Team Comparison

DukeMetricVirginia Tech

81.7MMH Power Index57.7

122.2Offensive Efficiency112.8

95.2Defensive Efficiency107.2

27.0Net Efficiency5.6

7.8Strength of Schedule5.8

18.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.9

66.8Tempo69.8

56.9%Effective FG%52.3%

15.9%Turnover Rate14.9%

38.2%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

39.0%Free Throw Rate34.7%

18.0Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–57.7), offensive efficiency (122.2–112.8), defensive efficiency (95.2–107.2), net efficiency (27.0–5.6).

Virginia Tech COUNTERS WITHball security (14.9–15.9).

Final

Duke

77—67

Virginia Tech

Duke by 10 • 64.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DukeTEAM STATVirginia Tech

31-56FG26-58

55.4%FG%44.8%

9-173PT6-22

52.9%3PT%27.3%

6-10FT9-12

60.0%FT%75.0%

38Rebounds20

10Offensive Rebounds4

19Assists15

14Turnovers4

1Steals4

3Blocks3

18Fouls10

Player Box Score

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeremy Roach	Guard	29	5-11	4-5	2-2	0	4	0	0	16
Kyle Filipowski	Forward	30	6-9	0-1	2-5	8	2	1	0	14
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	38	5-8	2-3	0-0	3	5	0	0	12
Ryan Young	Center	15	5-6	0-0	0-1	5	2	0	1	10
Jared McCain	Guard	38	3-10	1-6	2-2	10	3	0	0	9
Mark Mitchell	G	31	4-6	0-0	0-0	8	1	0	2	8
Caleb Foster	G	15	3-6	2-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	8
Sean Stewart	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Virginia Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
MJ Collins Jr.	G	34	7-13	3-6	0-0	2	3	0	1	17
Hunter Cattoor	Guard	39	5-8	2-4	3-3	0	0	1	0	15
Sean Pedulla	Guard	39	4-15	0-6	4-5	3	6	1	0	12
Lynn Kidd	Center	23	5-9	0-0	2-2	4	1	0	1	12
Robbie Beran	Forward	32	3-7	1-5	0-0	2	3	1	1	7
Mylyjael Poteat	Forward	17	2-5	0-0	0-2	6	1	0	0	4
Tyler Nickel	F	16	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.3Possessions64.3

119.8Offensive Efficiency104.2

104.2Defensive Efficiency119.8

15.6Net Efficiency-15.6

63.4%Effective FG%50.0%

63.4%True Shooting %52.6%

21.6%Turnover Rate6.3%

17.9%Free Throw Rate20.7%

30.4%3-Point Rate37.9%

1.36Assist / Turnover3.75

Game Summary

Duke won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 64.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.