Marquette

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.4%Marquette

78.6%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -10.0

PROJECTED TOTAL151.7

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -367

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMarquette 71

Projected Total151.7

Projected ScoreVillanova 81

Team Comparison

MarquetteMetricVillanova

52.3MMH Power Index59.4

106.0Offensive Efficiency114.7

106.9Defensive Efficiency105.9

-0.9Net Efficiency8.8

4.2Strength of Schedule4.4

3.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

70.9Tempo67.3

50.5%Effective FG%53.9%

16.0%Turnover Rate15.0%

29.3%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

33.8%Free Throw Rate31.4%

-0.6Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–52.3), offensive efficiency (114.7–106.0), defensive efficiency (105.9–106.9), net efficiency (8.8–-0.9).

Marquette COUNTERS WITHrecent form (3.5–-1.1), free throw rate (33.8–31.4).

Final

Marquette

85—80

Villanova

Marquette by 5 • 69.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MarquetteTEAM STATVillanova

27-54FG26-66

50.0%FG%39.4%

10-223PT11-32

45.5%3PT%34.4%

21-29FT17-17

72.4%FT%100.0%

37Rebounds34

8Offensive Rebounds11

16Assists17

10Turnovers7

6Steals4

4Blocks3

14Fouls22

Player Box Score

Marquette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Kolek	Guard	38	10-20	5-8	7-8	6	9	3	0	32
Oso Ighodaro	Center	36	5-9	0-0	5-6	8	1	1	1	15
Stevie Mitchell	Guard	35	4-5	0-1	4-6	9	1	1	0	12
David Joplin	Forward	33	4-10	2-5	2-6	4	2	0	2	12
Chase Ross	G	31	3-5	2-3	3-3	4	1	1	1	11
Ben Gold	F	17	1-5	1-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Zaide Lowery	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Tre Norman	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eric Dixon	Forward	33	8-16	2-4	6-6	6	1	0	1	24
TJ Bamba	Guard	31	8-14	4-7	4-4	3	2	1	0	24
Mark Armstrong	Guard	33	5-18	2-8	4-4	8	3	2	1	16
Tyler Burton	Forward	28	2-5	2-4	2-2	6	2	0	1	8
Justin Moore	Guard	33	2-6	1-4	1-1	3	6	1	0	6
Brendan Hausen	G	15	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Hakim Hart	Guard	11	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jordan Longino	Guard	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Lance Ware	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Chris Arcidiacono	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.9Possessions69.9

121.6Offensive Efficiency114.4

114.4Defensive Efficiency121.6

7.2Net Efficiency-7.2

59.3%Effective FG%47.7%

62.7%True Shooting %54.0%

14.3%Turnover Rate10.0%

53.7%Free Throw Rate25.8%

40.7%3-Point Rate48.5%

1.60Assist / Turnover2.43

Game Summary

Marquette won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 69.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.