Illinois

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

69.6%Illinois

30.4%Ohio State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -4.9

PROJECTED TOTAL154.4

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -229

Ohio State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois 80

Projected Total154.4

Projected ScoreOhio State 75

Team Comparison

IllinoisMetricOhio State

76.5MMH Power Index64.5

125.0Offensive Efficiency118.1

103.3Defensive Efficiency108.1

21.7Net Efficiency10.0

6.7Strength of Schedule6.4

12.7Last 10 Net Efficiency6.3

66.5Tempo67.2

54.8%Effective FG%56.9%

13.1%Turnover Rate15.3%

39.3%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

33.8%Free Throw Rate38.3%

14.5Average Margin6.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–64.5), offensive efficiency (125.0–118.1), defensive efficiency (103.3–108.1), net efficiency (21.7–10.0).

Ohio State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (56.9–54.8), free throw rate (38.3–33.8).

Final

Illinois

87—75

Ohio State

Illinois by 12 • 64.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IllinoisTEAM STATOhio State

31-60FG30-60

51.7%FG%50.0%

7-173PT4-12

41.2%3PT%33.3%

18-20FT11-15

90.0%FT%73.3%

36Rebounds28

11Offensive Rebounds8

8Assists11

6Turnovers6

2Steals4

4Blocks4

15Fouls18

Player Box Score

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Domask	Forward	35	7-12	1-2	8-8	3	2	0	0	23
Terrence Shannon Jr.	Not Available	32	7-17	3-7	6-6	3	3	0	2	23
Ty Rodgers	G	26	5-6	0-0	3-3	10	2	1	0	13
Dain Dainja	Forward	11	3-5	0-0	1-1	5	0	0	1	7
Justin Harmon	Guard	24	3-6	0-1	0-0	4	1	1	0	6
Coleman Hawkins	Guard	25	2-3	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	5
Quincy Guerrier	Forward	22	2-5	1-3	0-1	2	0	0	0	5
Luke Goode	Forward	18	1-3	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Amani Hansberry	F	4	1-2	0-1	0-1	0	0	0	0	2
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Ohio State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamison Battle	Forward	37	8-15	3-6	2-2	6	2	0	0	21
Roddy Gayle Jr.	G	38	8-14	0-1	4-4	2	2	0	0	20
Evan Mahaffey	F	31	6-7	0-0	1-2	3	1	2	0	13
Bruce Thornton	G	31	3-11	1-5	0-0	4	5	1	0	7
Devin Royal	F	7	3-4	0-0	1-2	1	0	1	0	7
Zed Key	Forward	10	1-5	0-0	3-5	4	0	0	2	5
Scotty Middleton	F	20	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Felix Okpara	F	18	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2	0
Dale Bonner	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Bowen Hardman	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.8Possessions64.8

134.3Offensive Efficiency115.7

115.7Defensive Efficiency134.3

18.5Net Efficiency-18.5

57.5%Effective FG%53.3%

62.6%True Shooting %55.9%

9.3%Turnover Rate9.2%

33.3%Free Throw Rate25.0%

28.3%3-Point Rate20.0%

1.33Assist / Turnover1.83

Game Summary

Illinois won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 64.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.